Well Pog in general has a better chances in Liege and Lombardia. MvDP has Roubaix and MSR. RVV is obviously a tie. I can’t see how anyone can say with any confidence it’s MvdP’s given the way Pog rode it this year. I would say Pog has a certain theoretical advantage over MvdP in Liege than MvdP has proven over Pog in MSR. And Pog is very dominant in Lombardia, more than MvdP is anywhere else. He has 5 monument victories and MvdP has 4, but one Roubaix and one additional RVV should probably count about the same as 3 Lombardias. So all in all, monuments wise, it’s really hard to set them apart.
Looking at the other classics, I don’t see a race where MvdP has a clear edge over Pog. The latter has a clear edge in Fleche Wallone. In WCRR it all depends on the route, of course, but this year’s victory and the way it was won counts a lot in my opinion.
All that being said, I still don’t know what to make of it. I guess I’m just gonna enjoy the view while it lasts and let the bikes speak for themselves (yes, I know this is getting old)…