He wants to win the Giro eventually anyway, and he thinks there is a good chance he won't beat Vingegaard at the Tour, so he might as well go for the Giro now.
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Look up the difference between necessary and sufficient conditions. Note that a consideration in support of a decision doesn't have to be either.
Pogačar wants to win all three Grand Tours (among other big races) so riding the Giro is a necessary condition in order to archieve that.
As to why he rides it in 2024, I think its due to the easier parcours and Vingegaard 's recent dominance in the Tour.
As to why he rides it in 2024, I think its due to the easier parcours and Vingegaard 's recent dominance in the Tour.
He's a guy who wants to try new things and win all races possible (look how his spring calendar changes every year). So it makes sense for him to go to the Giro (this way he tried and won RVV). Keep in mind that he has ridden only one non-Tour GT, back in 2019.
Obviously Vingegaard presence makes the Tour very difficult anyway and Pog wants to grab another GT after an almost 3-year break (and have less pressure at the Tour) so there's maybe some hedging involved indeed. But imagine there's no Vingegaard and Pogacar is a 4-time TdF champion (winning last 3 with ease). It's possible that he would change his routine anyway and try something more difficult (the double).
Obviously Vingegaard presence makes the Tour very difficult anyway and Pog wants to grab another GT after an almost 3-year break (and have less pressure at the Tour) so there's maybe some hedging involved indeed. But imagine there's no Vingegaard and Pogacar is a 4-time TdF champion (winning last 3 with ease). It's possible that he would change his routine anyway and try something more difficult (the double).
Because he was beaten 2 times by Vingegaard. If he had 4 Tours, certainly he would go all in to win the fifth Tour like indurain, merckx, hinault won.
" He wants to try new things in grand tours", that’s BS, because he could try the double Tour Vuelta this, going to the Tour all in again.
I understand his choice, it's better doing the Tour with a Giro in his pocket, he will have less pressure.
" He wants to try new things in grand tours", that’s BS, because he could try the double Tour Vuelta this, going to the Tour all in again.
I understand his choice, it's better doing the Tour with a Giro in his pocket, he will have less pressure.
Because he will ride the Tour and Vuelta. He's got a lot of time to win the Giro, now he should go all in to the Tour, in his peak years.
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Agreed. It's the pragmatic option. If he was favourite for Le Tour would he be riding Il Giro? Of course not.
He will ride the Giro, even if Vinge crashes in April and get long-term injured.
I think it's mostly that he just wants to win the Giro and thinks, why not now? Vingegaard likely won't go anywhere any time soon, so it's not like it makes much of a difference whether he does the Giro this year, next year, or the year after that. Winning lots of different races is clearly a big priority of Pogacar so he is simply doing that.
But then even I have to admit, being afraid of Vingegaard probably plays a role too. If he just keeps riding the same gts as him year after year there is a very real chance he never wins any of those races. And the thought of not winning a gt for like 5 years probably sounds pretty horrible to Pogacar. I don't think that's the main reason, but I'd be surprised if this doesn't at least play a small role in the back of his mind.
But then even I have to admit, being afraid of Vingegaard probably plays a role too. If he just keeps riding the same gts as him year after year there is a very real chance he never wins any of those races. And the thought of not winning a gt for like 5 years probably sounds pretty horrible to Pogacar. I don't think that's the main reason, but I'd be surprised if this doesn't at least play a small role in the back of his mind.
Haven't read all replies, so i don't know if anyone has said he is literally "scared" but obviously Vingegaard plays a role here. Doing the Giro first is a triple safety blanket. First of all, baring accidents he will win the Giro with a 99% certainty so going to the Tour he likely already has the Giro in the bag. That's one. Secondly, it is the perfect excuse in case he falls short (again) in the Tour, it's a perfectly valid explanation that you can't be at your very best at the Tour after having done the Giro. Winning the Giro, as well as doing the Tour àfter the Giro, considerably lowers the pressure and expectations for the Tour (already having a GT in the bag + impossible to start the Tour with the same freshness as your rivals). And thirdly, in case he does manage to win the Tour after winning the Giro, it makes his win all the more epic. So it's a win-win either way.
Doing the Giro-Vuelta would be a little too obvious, and also completely unnecessary considering nobody will expect him to simply win the Tour after already doing the Giro. But again, Vingegaard clearly plays a role here, if not he would try and do the Giro in a few years, after another few TDF wins. I'm quite convinced him needing to beat Vingegaard at the Tour, makes going to the Giro a lot easier considering my previous arguments. He wants to win the Giro anyway, but now with firm (superior) opposition at the TDF, he might as well do it now.
This doesn't hold up if he loses both races. So it is far riskier than one might think. He has anything but won the giro.
Bro. You need to change your username to Vingegaard. It's time already!
If Vingegaard wins more 2 Tours, and equalize froome, i will do that.
Pogacar doesn't go to a race to finish second. He believes he can win the Giro and the Tour.
Another missing option (not the main reason, but still):
-He saw how much love and support from Slovenian fans Roglič got in the last Giro (or any Slovenian when the Giro passed near Slovenia in recent years) and would like some of that as well, or maybe it would be better put as allowing the Slovenian fans to share and enjoy in his success as well. He couldn't do this any year Roglič would also be racing the Giro, so this year is great chance to give it a try from this perspective also.
-He saw how much love and support from Slovenian fans Roglič got in the last Giro (or any Slovenian when the Giro passed near Slovenia in recent years) and would like some of that as well, or maybe it would be better put as allowing the Slovenian fans to share and enjoy in his success as well. He couldn't do this any year Roglič would also be racing the Giro, so this year is great chance to give it a try from this perspective also.
If he can't win the Giro against... Uijtdebroeks, Thomas and O'Connor, then he has no business going to the Tour. He wouldn't even be on the podium.
RCS is paying him $$$$$$$$
why isn't this listed?
why isn't this listed?
Don't think "scared" is the right term. But when you get beaten again and again in the world's biggest race, it's human nature to lack the courage to try again. Nothing to be ashamed of. The fact is deep down inside we're all cowards anyway.
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