Ninety5rpm said:
Not sure myself. It looks to me that the republican party is a mix of Ron-Paul type libertarian elements with lots of 'big government' social issues. I understand where Ron Paul is coming from (I disagree with his position), but at least he seems to take a laissez-faire approach for economic and social issues. The latter makes him unelectable in many red states.
The successful candidate for the republicans needs to bring together fairly extreme libertarian positions concerning taxes, spending and the economy in general, while at the same time being socially ultra conservative and heavy handed when it comes to gay marriage, DADT, abortion etc.
This seems to be an intellectual feat which eludes anybody with enough brain to realize the virtual impossibility of it. Hence the only candidates so far are intellectual dwarves like Trump, Bachman, Palin etc. and some unelectables like Ron Paul who, I assume, simply wants a platform to get his message out.
Really, I don't keep track who has declared, semi-declared or who was simply fired by Fox News. Apparently Gingrich is running, too, now? He seems to have forgotten why he isn't speaker any more.
Wiki to the rescue. This is worse than I thought. I consider myself relatively well aware of American politics, but look at the list of declared candidates. Those might be decent guys, but the only one I might recognize based on name and photo is the 'the rent is too damned high'-guy, and only because he's fairly ... distinctive.
So I look at the 'exploring' candidates and it looks much better, but the only two who have name recognition and seem electable are Pawlenty and Romney. Romney could pull off the 'economy expert' and 'social conservative' double, but he's a mormon and has his own 'Obamacare-gate' in Mass. Neither will play well with a significant subclass of Republican voters. Pawlenty seems a viable candidate but he's drowning right now among the shrill voices of the crazies. I didn't watch the Fox News debate, but that seems to be the consensus reporting. Actually reading through what I wrote above, it seems that neither Trump, Palin, nor Bachmann are even exploring at this point. And still they're drowning everybody else. In that category, John Bolton is one of the saner choices, and that really tells you everything.