Netserk said:
But really, what is the point with almost 10km on a big road after the descent?
The point is a stage win and the overall lead. This is an almost ideal finish for many riders/teams to take time. In fact many won't have better. No there aren't minutes here, but seconds and that may be all some need.
Terpstra won Paris Roubaix as he wasn't marked when he attacked, and was strong enough to hold off Bert de Backer. There isn't any reason that a team couldn't sacrifice all but 2 guys on the 5% section of the climb all 10km of it, to set up a similar situation. Then the steeper section, descent, and the flat to the line for tactical attacks.
Garmin, Movistar, and Astana all have teams strong enough to do it. Take Astana, running a train of Grivko, to Iglinsky, to kessiakoff(lol) to Westra to Brajkovic to Kangert at which stage all 6 are dead, i don't think many riders would be left with Nibali and Fuglsang going over the top. Of course stage 4 offers more time, but surprise is why stage 1 may work better.
Of course I expect a team to set a tempo on the climb and conserve 4 to 5 of their own guys over the top of the shallow section, a few small attacks to go on the steep section, and be reeled in around the bottom of the descent. Pity. Happy to be surprised
