2014 Tour de France CQ game

[Armchair Cyclist]

St 16
Guaranteed points.
None of the popular picks in the break. The stage may have been a bit galling for those who tried to pick Mick Rogers, but rules is rules.

ROGERS Michael 80 0 teams
VOECKLER Thomas 50 3 teams
KIRYIENKA Vasil 35 0 teams
SERPA PEREZ Jose Rodolfo 25 1 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 20 8 teams
GAUTIER Cyril 15 0 teams
VAN AVERMAET Greg 10 0 teams
KWIATKOWSKI Michal 5 0 teams
MONTAGUTI Matteo 3 0 teams
SLAGTER Tom-Jelte 2 0 teams
GALLOPIN Tony 1 0 teams


1 Akuryo 50
1 Fus87 50
1 DBCoop 50
4 Jorik112 25
5= All the Nibalists 20
13= All others teams 0

Top of the Tommyphiles, Akuryo, was 15th in the projected rankings, so any real impact will have to come from GC battles, where many projected points were won or lost.


VOECKLER Thomas 78 3 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 59 2 teams
PINOT Thibaut 50 15 teams
SERPA PEREZ Jose Rodolfo 37 1 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 29 7 teams
TEN DAM Laurens 20 16 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 18 8 teams
TROFIMOV Yury 12 6 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 10 23 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 10 4 teams
...
PORTE Richie -12 11 teams
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen -20 57 teams
YATES Simon -20 12 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay -30 8 teams
ROLLAND Pierre -30 14 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke -70 2 teams
BARDET Romain -90 5 teams
COSTA Rui Alberto Faria -120 1 teams

That ought to see some teams gain or suffer pain:
1 Akuryo 167
2 DBCoop 85
3 Mix 79
4 Jancouver 67
5 Gotland 65
6 Hugo87 59
7 Trudgin 52
8 ItalianGigolo 49
9 BeagRigh 38
10 Jorik112 31
11 Fus87 28
12 Manafana 22
13 Search 21
13 Flo 21
15 Leadbelly 20
16 Handbrake 18
17 LaVelocipide 12
17 JosephD 12
19 Vladimir 8
19 Kazistuta 8
19 Dazed_and_Confused 8
19 Shalgo 8
23 NairoQ 0
23 L29205 0
23 Pricey_Sky 0
23 Murali 0
27 Afrank -2
27 Evans_is_the_best -2
27 HilltopFinisher -2
27 MC_Mountain -2
27 BicycleBoy -2
32 Tuart -4
33 Martyfulu -8
34 AlPacino -10
34 the_fool_on_the_hill -10
36 GeraintTooFast -12
36 Somar13 -12
36 LiamP -12
36 Mutschi -12
40 Karlboss -14
41 PeterB -18
41 Armchair_Cyclist -18
41 Jaylew -18
41 Simple -18
45 Rote_Laterne -19
46 Blues_in_the_Bottle -20
47 The_Sceptic -22
47 18Valve -22
47 Mkind07 -22
50 Oli -24
51 Mellow_Velo -25
52 LightBing -29
53 JustSomeGuy -30
54 Diggercuz -32
54 Del1962 -32
56 Oliveira -34
57 Tigerion -40
57 Patrick767 -40
59 USPostal -45
60 AG -50
61 LugHugger -52
62 Yellow_Knight -55
63 Minessa -70
63 BigMac -70
65 Josedin -75
65 BikeRacer33 -75
67 Comodoro -84
68 asdfgh101 -94
69 Roubaix -110
70 Crevaison -120
71 LosBrolin -140
Collective_Wisdom -10

Bardet's difficulties see Comodoro suffer the same fate, a fall from 3rd to 5th, with Vladimir playing the role of Pinot. Top scorer of the day, Akuryo, comes into the top ten.

1 Handbrake 2228
2 BeagRigh 2177
3 Vladimir 1968
4 Kazistuta 1963
5 Comodoro 1917
6 Dazed_and_Confused 1683
7 Afrank 1608
7 Evans_is_the_best 1608
9 Gotland 1581
10 Akuryo 1380
11 NairoQ 1340
12 Leadbelly 1309
13 ItalianGigolo 1264
14 Diggercuz 1225
15 Crevaison 1169
16 Search 1139
17 Mix 1138
17 GeraintTooFast 1138
19 Hugo87 1021
20 LosBrolin 1011
21 Minessa 977
22 HilltopFinisher 928
23 Roubaix 906
24 Mellow_Velo 894
25 Tigerion 885
26 Josedin 858
27 MC_Mountain 838
28 Fus87 833
29 Jancouver 821
30 Manafana 801
31 L29205 784
32 Somar13 781
33 Oli 758
34 Trudgin 748
35 The_Sceptic 747
36 Rote_Laterne 742
37 Martyfulu 738
38 JustSomeGuy 715
39 asdfgh101 701
40 BigMac 699
41 PeterB 689
42 LiamP 670
42 USPostal 670
44 Flo 663
45 BikeRacer33 653
46 Karlboss 650
47 18Valve 631
48 LugHugger 590
49 AlPacino 584
50 Shalgo 582
51 DBCoop 566
52 LaVelocipide 537
53 Tuart 509
54 Patrick767 500
55 Armchair_Cyclist 477
56 the_fool_on_the_hill 469
57 Yellow_Knight 465
58 Jorik112 462
59 Pricey_Sky 441
60 Oliveira 419
61 AG 415
62 Del1962 408
63 LightBing 356
64 BicycleBoy 353
65 Mutschi 348
66 Mkind07 335
67 Blues_in_the_Bottle 325
68 Jaylew 288
69 JosephD 266
70 Simple 257
71 Murali 135
Collective_Wisdom 510

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Voeckler, Pinot, König. I had a good day today. Hell, even Zubeldia moved up in the GC. Maybe I can somehow reach the Top 10 at the end.

Can't say anything about where you will end up, but you have that top 10 for now.

 

[Handbrake]

Laurens Ten Dam keeps slowly gaining points for BeagRigh. Worried Hansen will escape down the road and claim some vital points today. I need Rolland and JVB to stop falling down the GC.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

St 17 guaranteed points:
MAJKA Rafal 80 0 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 55 8 teams
VISCONTI Giovanni 50 17 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 25 2 teams
DE MARCHI Alessandro 15 4 teams
ROLLAND Pierre 10 14 teams
SCHLECK Fränk 5 0 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke 3 2 teams
ROCHE Nicolas 2 0 teams
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro 1 0 teams
Only one team combines Nibali with Visconti
1 Comodoro 105
2 Handbrake 65
2 BeagRigh 65
4 Diggercuz 60
4 The_Sceptic 60
6 Vladimir 55
6 Kazistuta 55
6 Dazed_and_Confused 55
6 Afrank 55
6 Evans_is_the_best 55
11 Search 50
11 GeraintTooFast 50
11 Mellow_Velo 50
11 Somar13 50
11 Trudgin 50
11 asdfgh101 50
11 Karlboss 50
11 18Valve 50
11 Shalgo 50
11 Armchair_Cyclist 50
11 Oliveira 50
11 Mkind07 50
11 Jaylew 50
11 JosephD 50
25 ItalianGigolo 25
25 Jancouver 25
25 Yellow_Knight 25
28 BikeRacer33 18
29 Josedin 15
29 LightBing 15
31 Leadbelly 10
31 Crevaison 10
31 LosBrolin 10
31 Tigerion 10
31 Fus87 10
31 Rote_Laterne 10
31 PeterB 10
31 Patrick767 10
31 AG 10
40 Minessa 3
41 Everyone else 0

GP standings:
1 Vladimir 1040
2 Kazistuta 1015
3 Handbrake 950
4 Afrank 825
4 Evans_is_the_best 825
6 BeagRigh 819
7 Comodoro 788
8 Dazed_and_Confused 780
9 GeraintTooFast 717
10 NairoQ 460
11 Akuryo 455
12 Somar13 440
13 Fus87 435
14 18Valve 430
15 ItalianGigolo 403
16 Tigerion 400
17 LosBrolin 396
18 Martyfulu 393
19 Leadbelly 389
20 Josedin 383
21 Minessa 375
22 BikeRacer33 361
23 Search 355
24 Oli 350
24 JustSomeGuy 350
26 Crevaison 334
27 L29205 319
28 DBCoop 316
29 HilltopFinisher 265
30 Diggercuz 257
31 Mellow_Velo 236
32 Trudgin 210
33 Karlboss 206
34 Hugo87 197
35 MC_Mountain 195
35 AlPacino 195
37 Gotland 191
38 BigMac 187
39 Rote_Laterne 180
40 Oliveira 175
41 The_Sceptic 171
41 Mix 171
43 Del1962 160
44 Yellow_Knight 155
45 LightBing 145
46 LiamP 141
47 Roubaix 129
48 LugHugger 120
49 JosephD 115
49 AG 115
51 Shalgo 106
52 Jaylew 105
52 Manafana 105
52 Tuart 105
52 Blues_in_the_Bottle 105
56 Mkind07 102
56 Jancouver 102
58 Flo 94
59 asdfgh101 93
60 the_fool_on_the_hill 92
61 Armchair_Cyclist 90
62 Jorik112 83
63 PeterB 71
64 USPostal 70
65 Simple 67
66 LaVelocipide 61
66 Pricey_Sky 61
66 Mutschi 61
69 Patrick767 60
70 Murali 55
71 BicycleBoy 45
Collective_Wisdom 190


We are getting closer to the stage at which projected points are almost guaranteed.
Riders' projected changes today:

NIBALI Vincenzo 77 8 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke 73 2 teams
VISCONTI Giovanni 60 17 teams
ROLLAND Pierre 40 14 teams
DE MARCHI Alessandro 35 4 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 34 2 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 12 4 teams
NIEVE ITURRALDE Mikel 12 1 teams
PORTE Richie 12 11 teams
FEILLU Brice 11 9 teams
TROFIMOV Yury 10 6 teams
HORNER Chris 10 2 teams
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen 10 57 teams
...
PINOT Thibaut -12 15 teams
HOLLENSTEIN Reto -20 1 teams
SPILAK Simon -20 1 teams
GERRANS Simon -20 1 teams
KÖNIG Leopold -52 7 teams

There are, at least, more winners than losers:
1 Comodoro 147
2 Handbrake 115
3 The_Sceptic 110
4 Diggercuz 109
5 BikeRacer33 108
6 BeagRigh 105
7 Vladimir 87
7 Kazistuta 87
7 Afrank 87
7 Evans_is_the_best 87
11 Armchair_Cyclist 86
12 Yellow_Knight 85
13 Minessa 83
14 Karlboss 82
14 Oliveira 82
16 Mkind07 81
17 asdfgh101 78
18 GeraintTooFast 70
18 Somar13 70
18 18Valve 70
18 Shalgo 70
18 Jaylew 70
23 Search 68
23 JosephD 68
25 Dazed_and_Confused 67
26 PeterB 62
27 Jancouver 58
28 Tigerion 50
28 LosBrolin 50
28 Crevaison 50
28 AG 50
28 Patrick767 50
33 Trudgin 48
34 Josedin 45
34 LightBing 45
36 Fus87 42
37 Leadbelly 38
38 ItalianGigolo 34
38 Mutschi 34
40 AlPacino 33
41 LiamP 24
41 LugHugger 24
43 Del1962 22
43 USPostal 22
45 Roubaix 21
45 the_fool_on_the_hill 21
47 Martyfulu 20
48 Tuart 16
49 Mellow_Velo 15
50 Simple 13
51 BicycleBoy 12
52 JustSomeGuy 10
52 L29205 10
52 HilltopFinisher 10
52 MC_Mountain 10
52 Manafana 10
52 Blues_in_the_Bottle 10
52 Pricey_Sky 10
59 Jorik112 5
60 DBCoop 2
61 LaVelocipide 0
61 Murali 0
63 BigMac -1
64 Rote_Laterne -4
65 Oli -6
66 Flo -21
67 NairoQ -22
68 Hugo87 -43
69 Gotland -50
70 Mix -54
71 Akuryo -72
Collective_Wisdom 10


Comodoro makes a Valverde-like recovery to regain his earlier position. Akuryo had a short-lived stay in the top ten, and Leadbelly takes over that spot. As in the real race, the battle for the last podium place is about as tense as it gets now.

1 Handbrake 2343
2 BeagRigh 2282
3 Comodoro 2064
4 Vladimir 2055
5 Kazistuta 2050
6 Dazed_and_Confused 1750
7 Afrank 1695
7 Evans_is_the_best 1695
9 Gotland 1531
10 Leadbelly 1347
11 Diggercuz 1334
12 NairoQ 1318
13 Akuryo 1308
14 ItalianGigolo 1298
15 Crevaison 1219
16 GeraintTooFast 1208
17 Search 1207
18 Mix 1084
19 LosBrolin 1061
20 Minessa 1060
21 Hugo87 978
22 HilltopFinisher 938
23 Tigerion 935
24 Roubaix 927
25 Mellow_Velo 909
26 Josedin 903
27 Jancouver 879
28 Fus87 875
29 The_Sceptic 857
30 Somar13 851
31 MC_Mountain 848
32 Manafana 811
33 Trudgin 796
34 L29205 794
35 asdfgh101 779
36 BikeRacer33 761
37 Martyfulu 758
38 Oli 752
39 PeterB 751
40 Rote_Laterne 738
41 Karlboss 732
42 JustSomeGuy 725
43 18Valve 701
44 BigMac 698
45 LiamP 694
46 USPostal 692
47 Shalgo 652
48 Flo 642
49 AlPacino 617
50 LugHugger 614
51 DBCoop 568
52 Armchair_Cyclist 563
53 Yellow_Knight 550
53 Patrick767 550
55 LaVelocipide 537
56 Tuart 525
57 Oliveira 501
58 the_fool_on_the_hill 490
59 Jorik112 467
60 AG 465
61 Pricey_Sky 451
62 Del1962 430
63 Mkind07 416
64 LightBing 401
65 Mutschi 382
66 BicycleBoy 365
67 Jaylew 358
68 Blues_in_the_Bottle 335
69 JosephD 334
70 Simple 270
71 Murali 135
Collective_Wisdom 520

 

[murali]

Majka is actually a good pick in hindsight.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

St 18

More guaranteed points for those who already have plenty of them.

NIBALI Vincenzo 100 8 teams
PINOT Thibaut 50 15 teams
MAJKA Rafal 35 0 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 25 2 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 15 8 teams
BARDET Romain 10 5 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke 5 2 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 3 7 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 2 23 teams
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro 1 0 teams

Points gained on the day:
1 Handbrake 150
1 BeagRigh 150
3 Comodoro 112
4 Vladimir 102
4 Kazistuta 102
4 Dazed_and_Confused 102
7 Afrank 100
7 Evans_is_the_best 100
9 Gotland 70
10 Diggercuz 65
10 NairoQ 65
12 Akuryo 55
13 Mix 53
13 Hugo87 53
15 Search 52
16 Leadbelly 50
16 HilltopFinisher 50
16 MC_Mountain 50
16 Manafana 50
16 Trudgin 50
16 BigMac 50

and guaranteed standings:
1 Vladimir 1142
2 Kazistuta 1117
3 Handbrake 1100
4 BeagRigh 969
5 Afrank 925
5 Evans_is_the_best 925
7 Comodoro 900
8 Dazed_and_Confused 882
9 GeraintTooFast 719
10 NairoQ 525
11 Akuryo 510
12 ItalianGigolo 443
13 Somar13 442
14 Leadbelly 439
15 Fus87 435
16 18Valve 430
17 Search 407
18 LosBrolin 406
19 Tigerion 402
20 Josedin 398
21 Martyfulu 393
22 Minessa 380
23 BikeRacer33 366
24 Oli 352
24 JustSomeGuy 352
26 Crevaison 344
27 Diggercuz 322
28 L29205 319
29 DBCoop 316
30 HilltopFinisher 315
31 Gotland 261
32 Trudgin 260
33 Mellow_Velo 254
34 Hugo87 250
35 MC_Mountain 245
36 BigMac 237
37 Mix 224
38 Karlboss 206
39 AlPacino 195
40 Rote_Laterne 183
41 Oliveira 175
42 The_Sceptic 173
43 Del1962 160
44 Manafana 155
44 Yellow_Knight 155
46 LightBing 145
47 LiamP 141
48 Roubaix 139
49 LugHugger 135
50 Jancouver 129
51 AG 115
51 JosephD 115
53 Shalgo 108
54 Tuart 107
55 Jaylew 105
55 Blues_in_the_Bottle 105
57 asdfgh101 103
58 Mkind07 102
59 Flo 97
60 the_fool_on_the_hill 94
61 Armchair_Cyclist 92
62 USPostal 87
63 Jorik112 85
64 PeterB 71
65 Simple 67
66 LaVelocipide 63
67 Patrick767 62
68 Pricey_Sky 61
68 Mutschi 61
70 Murali 55
71 BicycleBoy 47
Collective_Wisdom 192

Projected points:
No-one loses points because of Valverde, while plenty will gain through riders who pass him.
PINOT Thibaut 142 15 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 105 8 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 90 2 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 22 23 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 16 8 teams
BARDET Romain 10 5 teams
GADRET John 10 4 teams
STETINA Peter 10 5 teams
...
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen -10 57 teams
VOECKLER Thomas -11 3 teams
DE MARCHI Alessandro -13 4 teams
ROLLAND Pierre -20 14 teams
HAUSSLER Heinrich -20 17 teams
ROJAS GIL Jose Joaquin -27 1 teams
PORTE Richie -28 11 teams

So those who gain, or lose out, are:
1 BeagRigh 227
2 Handbrake 197
3 Gotland 175
4 Akuryo 156
5 Trudgin 149
6 BigMac 148
7 Hugo87 141
8 Manafana 136
9 Mix 135
10 Diggercuz 131
11 NairoQ 128
12 Comodoro 124
13 Search 123
14 Vladimir 117
14 Dazed_and_Confused 117
16 Leadbelly 112
17 ItalianGigolo 106
18 HilltopFinisher 104
18 Jancouver 104
20 Kazistuta 97
21 Afrank 95
21 Evans_is_the_best 95
23 MC_Mountain 84
24 LaVelocipide 36
25 Jorik112 19
26 the_fool_on_the_hill 18
27 asdfgh101 17
28 USPostal 16
29 JustSomeGuy 12
29 Simple 12
31 GeraintTooFast 9
31 Somar13 9
31 Shalgo 9
34 Roubaix 6
35 Mutschi 1
36 Murali 0
37 Flo -1
38 Tuart -2
39 Jaylew -3
40 Minessa -5
40 DBCoop -5
42 Oli -6
42 LugHugger -6
42 BicycleBoy -6
45 Mkind07 -7
46 Tigerion -8
46 BikeRacer33 -8
46 Patrick767 -8
49 Martyfulu -10
49 L29205 -10
49 PeterB -10
49 Pricey_Sky -10
53 JosephD -13
54 Armchair_Cyclist -17
55 AlPacino -18
56 LosBrolin -20
56 Crevaison -20
58 Mellow_Velo -21
59 Rote_Laterne -22
60 Josedin -27
61 Blues_in_the_Bottle -30
62 The_Sceptic -31
63 18Valve -33
64 Del1962 -38
65 Oliveira -41
66 Yellow_Knight -43
66 LightBing -43
68 AG -50
69 LiamP -54
70 Fus87 -61
70 Karlboss -61
Collective_Wisdom -8
As if in impersonation of Nibali, those who dominate the standings also dominate the day.

And the net result of that is:
1 Handbrake 2540
2 BeagRigh 2509
3 Comodoro 2188
4 Vladimir 2172
5 Kazistuta 2147
6 Dazed_and_Confused 1867
7 Afrank 1790
7 Evans_is_the_best 1790
9 Gotland 1706
10 Diggercuz 1465
11 Akuryo 1464
12 Leadbelly 1459
13 NairoQ 1446
14 ItalianGigolo 1404
15 Search 1330
16 Mix 1219
17 GeraintTooFast 1217
18 Crevaison 1199
19 Hugo87 1119
20 Minessa 1055
21 HilltopFinisher 1042
22 LosBrolin 1041
23 Jancouver 983
24 Manafana 947
25 Trudgin 945
26 Roubaix 933
27 MC_Mountain 932
28 Tigerion 927
29 Mellow_Velo 888
30 Josedin 876
31 Somar13 860
32 BigMac 846
33 The_Sceptic 826
34 Fus87 814
35 asdfgh101 796
36 L29205 784
37 BikeRacer33 753
38 Martyfulu 748
39 Oli 746
40 PeterB 741
41 JustSomeGuy 737
42 Rote_Laterne 716
43 USPostal 708
44 Karlboss 671
45 18Valve 668
46 Shalgo 661
47 Flo 641
48 LiamP 640
49 LugHugger 608
50 AlPacino 599
51 LaVelocipide 573
52 DBCoop 563
53 Armchair_Cyclist 546
54 Patrick767 542
55 Tuart 523
56 the_fool_on_the_hill 508
57 Yellow_Knight 507
58 Jorik112 486
59 Oliveira 460
60 Pricey_Sky 441
61 AG 415
62 Mkind07 409
63 Del1962 392
64 Mutschi 383
65 BicycleBoy 359
66 LightBing 358
67 Jaylew 355
68 JosephD 321
69 Blues_in_the_Bottle 305
70 Simple 282
71 Murali 135
Collective_Wisdom 512

If Kittel has enough energy left to sprint at all, Comodoro's third place is at risk.
Gotland, who chose no-one more expensive than Van Garderen, seems certain to be the top non-Nibalist, while the last spot in the top ten is fairly close for those who consider it a valid ambition.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Majka is actually a good pick in hindsight.

A pick that no-one made.
In terms of percentage return, he is the 24th best pick at 37.2%, Gastauer, Trentin and Vanotti were all also eschewed by all managers and had a better return.

He is the 5th highest scorer (projected) at the moment, but if you had the points in your budget to buy him, it would have been better spent on Pinot or Peraud, both about 300 points cheaper. If you already had them, but still had 944 points to spare, he would have been an excellent pick.

But he would have been a much better pick than most of my team.

 

[NairoQ]

Despite I'm not playing for the big prices, this is still exciting to follow because of the fight for the 10th place indeed. It'll be close.

 

[murali]

A pick that no-one made.
In terms of percentage return, he is the 24th best pick at 37.2%, Gastauer, Trentin and Vanotti were all also eschewed by all managers and had a better return.

He is the 5th highest scorer (projected) at the moment, but if you had the points in your budget to buy him, it would have been better spent on Pinot or Peraud, both about 300 points cheaper. If you already had them, but still had 944 points to spare, he would have been an excellent pick.

But he would have been a much better pick than most of my team.

i had the Talansky/Cav/Contador combination. Majka, at the beginning of the tour, was expected to be only a dom for the Pyrenes. in Alps, he would have been setting early pace.
(Pinot/Peraud had the curse of being french. that was a miscalculation from my end.)

i was pointing out that in hindsight, he would have been a damn good pick for most of us who had lost our @ 900 pts rider in crashes. he is on par with a 3.5-win Cav.

leaving the top-10 GC, who is the best pick in this bracket?

 

[diggercuz]

Despite I'm not playing for the big prices, this is still exciting to follow because of the fight for the 10th place indeed. It'll be close.

I was thinking exactly the same thing! I'm gonna fight to keep that 10th spot, well, I'm gonna hope like hell I stay there! Could slip down to 14th though if things don't go as planned...

Noticed a few other battles for third and for 5th. Exciting times all round.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

I was thinking exactly the same thing! I'm gonna fight to keep that 10th spot, well, I'm gonna hope like hell I stay there! Could slip down to 14th though if things don't go as planned...

Noticed a few other battles for third and for 5th. Exciting times all round.

And Navardauskas will have taken you a huge step closer to that 10th place.

Guaranteed points to stage 19:
NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas 80 3 teams
DEGENKOLB John 50 0 teams
KRISTOFF Alexander 35 0 teams
RENSHAW Mark 25 1 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 20 8 teams
rest of the top ten 0 teams

1 Diggercuz 80
1 Search 80
1 Fus87 80
4 Rote_Laterne 25
5= All the Nibalists 20
13= The rest 0

Projected scores:
Very little GC shifting today, so little change in projected scores other than the daily points:
NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas 82 3 teams
RENSHAW Mark 40 1 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 15 8 teams
...
FEILLU Brice -6 9 teams
PORTE Richie -7 11 teams
KITTEL Marcel -10 21 teams

1 Diggercuz 77
2 Search 76
3 Fus87 72
4 Rote_Laterne 40
5 Comodoro 16
6 Handbrake 15
6 BeagRigh 15
6 Dazed_and_Confused 15
6 Afrank 15
6 Evans_is_the_best 15
...
60 Akuryo -10
60 Leadbelly -10
60 NairoQ -10
60 ItalianGigolo -10
60 Crevaison -10
60 Minessa -10
60 LosBrolin -10
60 Tigerion -10
60 L29205 -10
60 Martyfulu -10
60 Oli -10
60 JustSomeGuy -10

Search goes from 15th to 14th, and Italian Gigolo makes the opposite move. Diggercuz is 88 points clear of 11th, instead of 1 point clear. That is about as dramatic as it gets today. You don't really need a full table for that do you?

 

[Akuryo]

Hopefully my 3 GC picks in the top 10 won't let me down tomorrow. Come on Pinot, König and Zubeldia

 

[diggercuz]

And Navardauskas will have taken you a huge step closer to that 10th place.

And for the life of me i cant remember exactly why i chose him in the first place...

I remember he was my last pick though... And pretty much he was thereabouts in the points i had remaining. I also remember thinking that once i had my team i had a few points left over and thought Cav or Kittel, Cav or Kittel, well it is starting in Yorkshire so Cav would be super motivated for that one so lets go Cav. great move that turned out to be...

Anyway, top 10. super happy about that one...

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Almost done: Stage 20

Guaranteed points on the day:
MARTIN Tony 80 0 teams
DUMOULIN Tom 50 0 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 45 8 teams
BARTA Jan 35 0 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 15 7 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 10 8 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 5 2 teams
CHAVANEL Sylvain 3 1 teams
IRIZAR ARANBURU Markel 2 1 teams
OSS Daniel 1 0 teams

1 Handbrake 45
1 BeagRigh 45
1 Comodoro 45
1 Vladimir 45
1 Kazistuta 45
1 Dazed_and_Confused 45
1 Afrank 45
1 Evans_is_the_best 45
9 Gotland 25
9 Mellow_Velo 25
11 Akuryo 15
11 ItalianGigolo 15
11 Mix 15
11 Hugo87 15
11 Rote_Laterne 15
11 Flo 15
17 Diggercuz 10
17 NairoQ 10
17 Josedin 10
17 USPostal 10
17 LugHugger 10
22 Jancouver 5
23 Simple 3
24 Blues_in_the_Bottle 2
25 All others 0

The GC points are surely just about guaranteed, but just in case, these are the absolutely, certainly definitely guaranteed points (AFLD notwithstanding):
1 Vladimir 1207
2 Kazistuta 1182
3 Handbrake 1165
4 BeagRigh 1034
5 Afrank 990
5 Evans_is_the_best 990
7 Comodoro 965
8 Dazed_and_Confused 947
9 GeraintTooFast 719
10 NairoQ 535
11 Akuryo 525
12 Fus87 515
13 Search 487
14 ItalianGigolo 458
15 Somar13 442
16 Leadbelly 439
17 18Valve 430
18 Diggercuz 412
19 Josedin 408
20 LosBrolin 406
21 Tigerion 402
22 Martyfulu 393
23 Minessa 380
24 BikeRacer33 366
25 Oli 352
25 JustSomeGuy 352
27 Crevaison 344
28 L29205 319
29 DBCoop 316
30 HilltopFinisher 315
31 Gotland 286
32 Mellow_Velo 279
33 Hugo87 265
34 Trudgin 260
35 MC_Mountain 245
36 Mix 239
37 BigMac 237
38 Rote_Laterne 223
39 Karlboss 206
40 AlPacino 195
41 Oliveira 175
42 The_Sceptic 173
43 Del1962 160
44 Manafana 155
44 Yellow_Knight 155
46 LugHugger 145
46 LightBing 145
48 LiamP 141
49 Roubaix 139
50 Jancouver 134
51 AG 115
51 JosephD 115
53 Flo 112
54 Shalgo 108
55 Blues_in_the_Bottle 107
55 Tuart 107
57 Jaylew 105
58 asdfgh101 103
59 Mkind07 102
60 USPostal 97
61 the_fool_on_the_hill 94
62 Armchair_Cyclist 92
63 Jorik112 85
64 PeterB 71
65 Simple 70
66 LaVelocipide 63
67 Patrick767 62
68 Pricey_Sky 61
68 Mutschi 61
70 Murali 55
71 BicycleBoy 47
Collective_Wisdom 192


Projected points

PERAUD Jean-Christophe 75 2 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 65 7 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 50 8 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 40 8 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 40 23 teams
...
TEN DAM Laurens -20 16 teams
BARDET Romain -30 5 teams
PINOT Thibaut -70 15 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke -70 2 teams

The final shake-up of GC brought about these score changes:
1 Jancouver 115
2 Mellow_Velo 109
3 Dazed_and_Confused 90
3 ItalianGigolo 90
5 Vladimir 85
5 Kazistuta 85
7 USPostal 72
8 Flo 71
9 Comodoro 64
10 Rote_Laterne 61
11 Gotland 55
12 Afrank 50
12 Evans_is_the_best 50
14 the_fool_on_the_hill 46
15 Armchair_Cyclist 42
16 Tuart 40
16 Patrick767 40
18 GeraintTooFast 39
18 Somar13 39
18 Jorik112 39
21 LugHugger 38
21 BicycleBoy 38
23 Tigerion 35
23 Oli 35
23 JustSomeGuy 35
26 Josedin 32
27 Akuryo 30
28 The_Sceptic 24
28 Shalgo 24
30 LaVelocipide 16
31 Mkind07 10
32 Simple 9
33 AlPacino 6
34 Jaylew 4
35 Oliveira 2
35 Blues_in_the_Bottle 2
37 Hugo87 1
38 AG 0
38 JosephD 0
38 Mutschi 0
38 Murali 0
42 18Valve -1
43 Del1962 -2
43 LightBing -2
45 Yellow_Knight -3
46 Fus87 -5
46 Martyfulu -5
48 DBCoop -11
49 Karlboss -18
50 Handbrake -20
50 Diggercuz -20
50 Pricey_Sky -20
53 LiamP -22
54 PeterB -24
55 L29205 -25
55 Mix -25
57 Search -28
58 asdfgh101 -30
59 NairoQ -35
59 LosBrolin -35
61 BeagRigh -40
62 Roubaix -44
63 Crevaison -55
64 BigMac -64
65 Trudgin -66
66 Manafana -70
67 HilltopFinisher -72
67 MC_Mountain -72
69 BikeRacer33 -78
70 Leadbelly -95
70 Minessa -95
Collective_Wisdom 40

And with only some sprinters' points to be decided (presumably), the standings are:

1 Handbrake 2535
2 BeagRigh 2484
3 Comodoro 2268
4 Vladimir 2262
5 Kazistuta 2237
6 Dazed_and_Confused 1972
7 Afrank 1855
7 Evans_is_the_best 1855
9 Gotland 1761
10 Diggercuz 1522
11 ItalianGigolo 1484
11 Akuryo 1484
13 NairoQ 1401
14 Search 1378
15 Leadbelly 1354
16 GeraintTooFast 1247
17 Mix 1194
18 Crevaison 1134
19 Hugo87 1114
20 Jancouver 1098
21 Mellow_Velo 998
22 LosBrolin 996
23 HilltopFinisher 963
24 Tigerion 952
25 Minessa 950
26 Josedin 899
27 Somar13 890
28 Roubaix 883
29 Manafana 882
30 Fus87 881
31 Trudgin 880
32 MC_Mountain 853
33 The_Sceptic 851
34 Rote_Laterne 817
35 USPostal 779
36 BigMac 776
37 Oli 771
38 asdfgh101 767
39 JustSomeGuy 762
40 L29205 749
41 Martyfulu 733
42 PeterB 722
43 Flo 706
44 Shalgo 686
45 BikeRacer33 666
46 18Valve 658
47 Karlboss 647
48 LugHugger 639
49 LiamP 616
50 AlPacino 599
51 LaVelocipide 594
52 Armchair_Cyclist 582
52 Patrick767 582
54 Tuart 568
55 the_fool_on_the_hill 548
55 DBCoop 548
57 Jorik112 525
58 Yellow_Knight 505
59 Oliveira 456
60 Pricey_Sky 421
61 AG 415
62 Mkind07 414
63 BicycleBoy 390
64 Mutschi 383
64 Del1962 383
66 Jaylew 360
67 LightBing 356
68 JosephD 322
69 Blues_in_the_Bottle 307
70 Simple 285
71 Murali 135
Collective_Wisdom 552

ItalianGigolo moves up 4 places to 11th: that is the most significant positional change.

Comodoro is 3rd, but has no sprinter (whatever Visconti might claim). Vladimir needs Kittel to finish in the top 7 to get 3rd.

Kittel is also the key to 10th: the current incumbent (Diggercuz) was reliant on Cavendish for this stage, whereas the three behind all have Kittel. If Kittel can get top 3, then we should have a tie for tenth.

Search, in 14th, has Greipel as a unique pick, but would need some fairly extraordinary placings behind a Greipel/Navardauskas 1-2 to get into the top ten.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Let's cut straight to the chase: the final table:
1 Handbrake 2530
2 BeagRigh 2479
3 Vladimir 2352
4 Kazistuta 2327
5 Comodoro 2263
6 Dazed_and_Confused 1967
7 Afrank 1850
7 Evans_is_the_best 1850
9 Gotland 1761
10 Akuryo 1589
11 ItalianGigolo 1579
12 Diggercuz 1558
13 NairoQ 1496
14 Leadbelly 1449
15 Search 1441
16 GeraintTooFast 1344
17 Crevaison 1230
18 Mix 1195
19 Hugo87 1114
20 Jancouver 1098
21 LosBrolin 1091
22 Tigerion 1047
23 Minessa 1046
24 Fus87 1012
25 Mellow_Velo 998
26 Josedin 994
27 Somar13 985
28 HilltopFinisher 963
29 Manafana 882
30 Trudgin 880
31 Roubaix 873
32 Oli 866
33 JustSomeGuy 857
34 MC_Mountain 853
35 The_Sceptic 851
36 L29205 844
37 Martyfulu 828
38 Rote_Laterne 822
39 USPostal 779
40 BigMac 776
41 asdfgh101 767
42 BikeRacer33 761
43 18Valve 754
44 PeterB 722
45 Flo 706
46 Shalgo 686
47 Karlboss 648
48 DBCoop 643
49 LugHugger 639
50 LiamP 616
51 LaVelocipide 594
52 AlPacino 589
53 Armchair_Cyclist 582
53 Patrick767 582
55 Tuart 568
56 the_fool_on_the_hill 548
57 Jorik112 525
58 Yellow_Knight 505
59 Oliveira 456
60 Pricey_Sky 421
61 AG 415
62 Mkind07 414
63 BicycleBoy 390
64 Mutschi 383
64 Del1962 383
66 Jaylew 360
67 LightBing 356
68 JosephD 322
69 Blues_in_the_Bottle 307
70 Simple 285
71 Murali 135
Collective_Wisdom 552

Kittel moves Vladimir onto the podium, and also Kazistuta above previous 3rd place Comodoro.

Although Navardauskas almost retained 10th for Diggercuz, Kittel's victory moved ItalianGigolo and Akuryo above him. Those two were level on points this morning, but the hitherto fruitless selection of Bernie Eisel by Akuryo split them.


The rankings for guaranteed points, which are now stage points+ yellow jersey points, finishes thus:

1 Vladimir 1287
2 Kazistuta 1262
3 Handbrake 1165
4 BeagRigh 1034
5 Afrank 990
5 Evans_is_the_best 990
7 Comodoro 965
8 Dazed_and_Confused 947
9 GeraintTooFast 801
10 Fus87 630
11 Akuryo 615
11 NairoQ 615
13 Search 547
14 ItalianGigolo 538
15 Somar13 522
16 Leadbelly 519
17 18Valve 511
18 Josedin 488
19 LosBrolin 486
20 Tigerion 482
21 Martyfulu 473
22 Minessa 461
23 Diggercuz 447
24 BikeRacer33 446
25 Oli 432
25 JustSomeGuy 432
27 Crevaison 425
28 L29205 399
29 DBCoop 396
30 HilltopFinisher 315
31 Gotland 286
32 Mellow_Velo 279
33 Hugo87 265
34 Trudgin 260
35 MC_Mountain 245
36 Mix 240
37 Rote_Laterne 238
38 BigMac 237
39 Karlboss 207
40 AlPacino 200
41 Oliveira 175
42 The_Sceptic 173
43 Del1962 160
44 Manafana 155
44 Yellow_Knight 155
46 LugHugger 145
46 LightBing 145
48 Roubaix 144
49 LiamP 141
50 Jancouver 134
51 AG 115
51 JosephD 115
53 Flo 112
54 Shalgo 108
55 Tuart 107
55 Blues_in_the_Bottle 107
57 Jaylew 105
58 asdfgh101 103
59 Mkind07 102
60 USPostal 97
61 the_fool_on_the_hill 94
62 Armchair_Cyclist 92
63 Jorik112 85
64 PeterB 71
65 Simple 70
66 LaVelocipide 63
67 Patrick767 62
68 Pricey_Sky 61
68 Mutschi 61
70 Murali 55
71 BicycleBoy 47
Collective_Wisdom 192

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Congratulations to Handbrake, who took the lead on stage 10 when Pinot's GC points eventually became more valuable than Kittel's stage victories; to BeagRigh, who rose to provide at least some threat; to Vladimir who took 9 stage wins with Nibali, Kittel and Kadri; to the rest of the Nibalists, who had the courage to make an outsider their main investment; to Gotland, who was top non-Nibalist by virtue of avoiding investing in a very expensive DNF (though he did have Talansky); and to everyone who had a go.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Top scoring riders:
NIBALI Vincenzo 1520 8 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 592 2 teams
PINOT Thibaut 560 15 teams
KRISTOFF Alexander 435 0 teams
SAGAN Peter 429 1 teams
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro 390 0 teams
KITTEL Marcel 385 21 teams
MAJKA Rafal 352 0 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 351 8 teams
BARDET Romain 308 5 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 288 7 teams
GALLOPIN Tony 202 0 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 202 23 teams
NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas 193 3 teams
TEN DAM Laurens 186 16 teams
MARTIN Tony 184 0 teams
MOLLEMA Bauke 171 2 teams
GREIPEL André 165 1 teams
RENSHAW Mark 155 1 teams
ROGERS Michael 152 0 teams
ROLLAND Pierre 150 14 teams
DUMOULIN Tom 143 0 teams
COQUARD Bryan 143 2 teams
SCHLECK Fränk 141 0 teams
TRENTIN Matteo 137 0 teams
VAN AVERMAET Greg 136 0 teams
DEGENKOLB John 120 0 teams
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen 120 57 teams
TROFIMOV Yury 110 6 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 105 4 teams
BOOM Lars 100 0 teams
KADRI Blel 100 20 teams

And best by %age returns:
KADRI Blel 250.0 20 teams
JI Cheng 200.0 14 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 160.3 23 teams
RENSHAW Mark 113.1 1 teams
NIBALI Vincenzo 99.2 8 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 96.3 4 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 90.7 2 teams
PINOT Thibaut 89.5 15 teams
TEN DAM Laurens 67.6 16 teams
PATE Danny 66.7 7 teams
NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas 63.7 3 teams
SCHLECK Fränk 62.1 0 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 58.8 7 teams
VISCONTI Giovanni 57.9 17 teams
SCHILLINGER Andreas 55.6 3 teams
GASTAUER Ben 51.9 0 teams
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen 48.6 57 teams
FEILLU Brice 48.5 9 teams
PAULINHO Sergio Miguel Moreira 47.6 3 teams
QUEMENEUR Perrig 44.4 2 teams
TRENTIN Matteo 43.5 0 teams
VAN GARDEREN Tejay 41.8 8 teams
VANOTTI Alessandro 40.0 0 teams
BONNET William 38.5 2 teams
VANSUMMEREN Johan 38.5 9 teams
KITTEL Marcel 37.9 21 teams
MAJKA Rafal 37.3 0 teams
ISAYCHEV Vladimir 36.4 2 teams
MARINO Jean-Marc 35.1 0 teams

Impeccable picks (couldn't be improved upon for the price):
NIBALI Vincenzo 8 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 2 teams
PINOT Thibaut 15 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 7 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 23 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 4 teams
KADRI Blel 20 teams
SCHILLINGER Andreas 3 teams
PATE Danny 7 teams
JI Cheng 14 teams

 

[Handbrake]

Thanks to Armchair Cyclist for the daily updates and analysis. Lets hope there are not as many GC contenders crash out at the Vuelta to keep everyone in the game (although I did have Talansky in my team ).

I'm glad I persisted with a slow Wifi putting together my team by using my phone sitting by a pool in Vietnam!

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

You can analyse the data to your heart's content at dropbox

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Cumulative scores for those who have taken part in the Classics, Giro and Tour games (game scores in that order):

1 NairoQ 1753 + 2472 + 1496 = 5721
2 Kazistuta 1606 + 1615 + 2237 = 5458
3 Hugo87 1563 + 2536 + 1114 = 5213
4 Leadbelly 1547 + 2171 + 1449 = 5167
5 Josedin 2197 + 1785 + 994 = 4976
6 Afrank 1474 + 1512 + 1850 = 4836
7 HilltopFinisher 1408 + 2441 + 963 = 4812
8 ItalianGigolo 1591 + 1516 + 1579 = 4686
9 Search 1272 + 1963 + 1441 = 4676
10 Comodoro 765 + 1623 + 2263 = 4651
11 Dazed_and_Confused 1460 + 1145 + 1967 = 4572
12 GeraintTooFast 1201 + 1972 + 1344 = 4517
13 JustSomeGuy 2060 + 1613 + 762 = 4435
14 asdfgh101 2030 + 1530 + 857 = 4417
15 Rote_Laterne 1442 + 2107 + 822 = 4371
16 Karlboss 2010 + 1683 + 648 = 4341
17 Oliveira 2001 + 1798 + 456 = 4255
18 Armchair_Cyclist 1668 + 1740 + 582 = 3990
19 AG 1746 + 1478 + 415 = 3639
20 Del1962 1461 + 1741 + 383 = 3585
21 the_fool_on_the_hill 1463 + 1502 + 548 = 3513
22 Mutschi 1451 + 1663 + 383 = 3497
23 MC_Mountain 1387 + 1204 + 853 = 3444
24 18Valve 1667 + 934 + 754 = 3355
25 Flo 1212 + 1277 + 706 = 3195
26 LightBing 1257 + 1046 + 356 = 2659
27 Trudgin 318 + 251 + 880 = 1449

 

[Hugo87]

Thanks Armchair Cyclist for all the work and congratulations to the winner.

 

[mutschi]

Thanks to Armchair Cyclist for the daily updates and analysis. Lets hope there are not as many GC contenders crash out at the Vuelta to keep everyone in the game (although I did have Talansky in my team ).

I'm glad I persisted with a slow Wifi putting together my team by using my phone sitting by a pool in Vietnam!

Congrats for winning. Well done. I got soundly beaten - could not even manage to get the Lantern Rouge. Many thanks to Armchair again for putting in so much work.

I brought this up before and it was rejected by everyone that answered to it but I try again: I think the game is great as it is but could be improved by either allowing more points or allow to exchange riders at a certain point (and maybe for a fee). As it is now, most of the time, it is a lottery and after a third of the game it was over for about 80% of the players. I don't mean to diminish the achievements of the high scoring guys and I still enjoy the game and I am grateful to Armchair to put it up as it is. All I am saying is that, generally, a game is better if more players can fight for the win and stay in the competition. There are several different ways to achieve that and I think it worth discussing it and maybe trying it. Cheers.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

None of my wildcards performed (SPILAK Simon, NAVARRO GARCIA Daniel, TAARAMÄE Rein). Very little TV time even.

Thanks for the game A c.

Hopefully you will run another one for the Vuelta.

 

[NairoQ]

Thanks for the organisation of this, and congratulations again to those who estimated Nibali's value so well!

Also glad to see the cumulative ranking, didn't expect that at all!

 

[murali]

Congratulations Handbrake!!

I finally won the Lantern Rouge competition

Impeccable picks (couldn't be improved upon for the price):
NIBALI Vincenzo 8 teams
PERAUD Jean-Christophe 2 teams
PINOT Thibaut 15 teams
KÖNIG Leopold 7 teams
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar 23 teams
KRUIJSWIJK Steven 4 teams
KADRI Blel 20 teams
SCHILLINGER Andreas 3 teams
PATE Danny 7 teams
JI Cheng 14 teams

Surprised that no single sprinter made this cut.
This tour was also bad for roulers.



Thank you AC for running the game.
Looking forward to the Veulta game.