Tour de France 2023 Tour de France, Stage 1: Bilbao - Bilbao, 182 km (Spain, Saturday, July 1)

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sadly this is going to be a massive crashfest, as per usual nowadays in the tour. i cross my fingers everyone stays upright this time so we can have a spectacular final.

One of the conversations regarding the massive crashes early in the 2021 TdF was about le grand départ in Bretagne, namely the narrow, twisty roads & sketchy finales which might have contributed to making a stressed peloton with high stakes disintegrate in several major crashes. There was also the question of a lack of ITT prologue which means time differences aren't established as a 'deterrent', so we see everyone drilling it for glory in the first couple of stages.

Contrast that with last year when nothing much happened in Denmark (stage 3 had a big crash in the final km, I seem to remember). But yeah, judging by the recent history of this sport & the Tour in particular, I reckon Saturday & Sunday on these Basque roads will be carnage & some riders will lose their GC hopes right there & then.
 
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One of the conversations regarding the massive crashes early in the 2021 TdF was about le grand départ in Bretagne, namely the narrow, twisty roads & sketchy finales which might have contributed to making a stressed peloton with high stakes disintegrate in several major crashes. There was also the question of a lack of ITT prologue which means time differences aren't established as a 'deterrent', so we see everyone drilling it for glory in the first couple of stages.

Contrast that with last year when nothing much happened in Denmark (stage 3 had a big crash in the final km, I seem to remember). But yeah, judging by the recent history of this sport & the Tour in particular, I reckon Saturday & Sunday on these Basque roads will be carnage & some riders will lose their GC hopes right there & then.
Stage 3 had a couple of crashes, and stage 2 had one on the bridge. I would guess a couple of crashes are sure to happen on the uneven Basque roads.
 
Dylan van Baarle's Dutch jersey. Even Jakobsen wants some of that.

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Stage 3 had a couple of crashes, and stage 2 had one on the bridge. I would guess a couple of crashes are sure to happen on the uneven Basque roads.

A prologue spreads the field out a little, at least just enough to put the yellow jersey out of reach for most riders in the following sprint stages. And when I was a kid watching the TdF, there was always a prologue.

The start in Basque Country seems pretty similar to the Bretagne start 2 years ago. I mean there are always going to be crashes but some race designs increase the likelihood.

I believe that's the case this year.
 
Silly decision. 99% certain the stage winner would take yellow anyway. If not it would have been a historic first if someone took the first yellow without winning the stage.

I actually think it could be quite cool to deliberately hand out boni seconds on the opening stage in such a way that if rider scored enough out on the stage, and got a good placement on the stage, he'd get the GC lead.