Ostolaza and van Anrooij in the counter-move trying to ride across to Geurts. Ostolaza looks like she's after the QOM, she has taken the GPM lead on the road, but you would think Gigante will earn a reasonable amount from the MTF so Ostolaza will want the duo to catch Geurts before the summit of La Forchetta if she's serious about the bid, as 15 points are available there, which would mean that if the three fugitives are still out front then, she can gain an extra 13 points on Gigante even if the latter rolls over ahead of the rest of the péloton for 4th, meaning Gigante would have to win the MTF and Ostolaza not score - that would put both of them dead level on points but Gigante would hold the tie break for having taken the cat.1s.
We're still some way from that being definitive, but the gap has come down by 20" while the péloton is letting them get further away in the last few minutes. There are a bunch of cat.3 and 4 climbs tomorrow which you'd suspect Ostolaza might try and nab some points in if Gigante is a threat, whereas Gigante, if she does well enough on Monte Nerone to still be battling the QOM, will be too dangerous in GC to be let go, so the circumstances would favour the Basque if they capture Geurts before the summit.
If they don't, then Ostolaza would sacrifice 8 points, meaning all of the above would still apply should Gigante finish 2nd on Monte Nerone and Ostolaza not score; if Gigante wins then obviously she holds the cards and Ostolaza would need to go probably into a break in the Imola stage.