No, the problem is that EVERY year writers and commentators in the English speaking world try to tout him as a contender in RVV and P-R...since what, 1999. And EVERY year he doesn't come in first. This year, he will be near the front most of the race...and then he will not win. 2006 was his best chance, and I believe he had P-R in the bag...and then he was undone by Trek...and his decision to ride an ALLOY steerer in PARIS-ROUBAIX!
I would jump for joy if he won either, but I can assure you that my feet will remain firmly planted on the ground because he will not win.