Re:
Conti must be way back on GC for Sky and Movistar to let him go on a long solo attack. As it is now, it won't happen. Best chance I see him winning is attacking on a descent. Stage 16, 17 and 18 are possibilites. I'm sure he will try on a least one of those stages.
SeriousSam said:Contador beating Valverde to 3rd is still much more likely than winning a stage. The only way for Contador to win a stage is to go on a long solo attack that Sky and Movistar choose not to reel in. He can't go into a break and can't win from a group containing Froome and Quintana, possibly Valverde.
Conti must be way back on GC for Sky and Movistar to let him go on a long solo attack. As it is now, it won't happen. Best chance I see him winning is attacking on a descent. Stage 16, 17 and 18 are possibilites. I'm sure he will try on a least one of those stages.