Re: Re:
Taxus4a said:
The level of salbutamol is not a positive, just the amount you use. Sometimes both things are in relation, something no. Maybe is difficult to understand for you, I dont know. There is a limit above you habe to explain.
Repeating, incorrectly, Brailsford’s spin doesn’t make it correct. Yes, the level is a positive. Positives are never defined by how much of a substance an athlete takes, they’re defined by how much is detected in his or her system. It has to be this way, since no athlete can ever prove how much of a substance he took. If someone claims he took no EPO at all, that is not a defense against an EPO positive, which is defined as EPO in the body, not how much was allegedly taken.
The 800 ug/ 1600 ug limit is basically a guideline. Riders can take more than that, and almost certainly do, much of the time, as long as they don't exceed the DL. Again, since there is no way to prove how much someone took, there's no way to prevent that.
But 1100 is not positibve, 2000 is not positive, and 3000 is not positive, and it was a proven experiment of a cyclist with the permited dosage who give 3000-
This was discussed upthread, something you would know if you had been following the discussion, instead of just jumping in with an incomplete understanding of the facts. In the first place, it wasn’t a cyclist, it was a runner. In the second place, the study was never replicated. Either the athlete was an outlier, or his readings were, but apparently nothing more has been published on it. There are always outliers in doping cases, the fact that one in a thousand or ten thousand or one hundred thousand can achieve a positive without taking more than the allowed amount is not a defense for anyone else who tests positive. The studies of testosterone isomers indicate that on very rare occasions, someone will test positive without having taken synthetic testosterone. That was not a defense for Floyd.
In the third place, the initial reading of 8000 ng/ml is next to impossible. The minimum volume of urine sample allowed by WADA is 90 ml. If he had only the minimum volume at 8000 ng/ml, he had a minimum of 720 ug, in his urine, 80% of the 900 ug he claimed to take. It would be unprecedented in pharmacology for someone to excrete 80% of a drug with a half life of several hours in the time frame in which he did. He said he took three puffs an hour before the race, three puffs 30 m before the race, and three puffs after the race. The urine sample was taken less than two hours after the race, and since it was 400 m, there was no sustained effort that possibly could have increased excretion. The most likely explanation was that the runner was lying.
In support of that, when he repeated the conditions in the lab, his levels were much lower. The initial lab test did show about 3500 ng/ml, and the second test about half that. But as I noted before, there was no follow-up, and according to Ken Fitch, a researcher who is very sympathetic to athletes who test over the limit, the results could not be repeated.
All the years there are a lot of riders tested the same way than Froome, it is not public, so it looks for you only exist those public and finally sanctioned.
Unlike you, I quoted WADA statistics on salbutamol. Just waving your hands and claiming there are all these riders who tested over the threshold for salbutamol and aren’t known is not a valid argument. I repeat, there were 16 salbutamol AAFs in 2015, and while we don't know how many were for cyclists, we do know that cyclists accounted for just 10% of all beta2-agonist AAFs in that year. So the burden of proof is on someone who claims that 10-12 riders per year have salbutamol AAFs. We know that less one per year is sanctioned for this, so this would imply that > 90% of the cases are not sanctioned. This is highly inconsistent with other WADA stats that indicate about two-thirds of all AAFs end up with a sanction.
It would be better if someone give those names and if the give 1500, 2500,...No, they are not positives and even if Froome knows those names and data, he should keep in secret, even if for people like you, could help a little to understand this is not a positive, there is no doping, he can compete as any other rider with no doping, as the other 10-12 riders in his exactly same situation
It’s very unlikely that anyone other than the Swiss runner tested at 2500, let alone got off. Ken Fitch discussed two other athletes who had above threshold levels and eventually were exonerated, and both had levels well below what Froome has. This was basically all he had. He has referred to other, older studies where subjects had high salbutamol levels, but the ones actually available just confirm how rare this is. All the recent studies show that subjects who take no more than the allowed amount of 800 ug rarely test above 1000 ng/ml, and other than the Swiss athlete (who technically took more than 800 ug) never as high as 2000 ng/ml.
http://sci-hub.la/10.1385/CRIAI:31:2:259
samhocking said:
You wouldn't agree to a story about you raping someone, being made public simply with what looks like evidence of you raping, knowing it wasn't you and once the trial is over you will then be innocent again, but only legally, not publically.
If you made an extremely lucrative living by claiming you had a high moral standard, then yes, the people who are in effect supporting you would have a right to know if you had been accused of rape. This is partly what the metoo movement is about.
Beyond this, you’re blurring the line between quantitative and qualitative differences. The difference between a salbutamol positive, which you think should remain secret, and a positive for a non-specified substance, which I take it you are fine with being made public, is not qualitative, it’s quantitative. A higher % of salbutamol positives do not lead to sanction than positives for other substances. But based on the available stats, the odds are still well above 50% that a salbutamol positive will lead to a sanction. And as we all know, a substantial portion of cases that don’t result in a sanction don’t come about because the athlete is innocent, but because it’s too difficult to prove that he’s guilty. Even in cases where riders have been sanctioned, like Petacchi and Ulissi, the system has bent over backwards to allow their claims that they made a mistake, when the more likely explanation is intentional doping.
You want to protect the minority of cases that don’t lead to a sanction, but you seem to have no sympathy for the smaller minority of cases for other substances that don’t lead to a sanction.
Finally, of course, if a case is not made public, there's a much greater chance of corruption occurring in the process. Transparency is the ultimate protection the public has that the case will be decided according to the scientific merit, not according to the interests of those who run the sport.