Amgen Tour of California 2019, May 12-18

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i've just looked at the profiles. Besides the Mt. Baldy one, they all seem to look quite saganish, at least for standard sagan, only maybe the 2nd one if rode very actively, could trouble him. So I wonder, without the ITT and with him winning the first one, will we maybe witness another california rise of the pheonix like in 2015?
 
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tomorrow said:
i've just looked at the profiles. Besides the Mt. Baldy one, they all seem to look quite saganish, at least for standard sagan, only maybe the 2nd one if rode very actively, could trouble him. So I wonder, without the ITT and with him winning the first one, will we maybe witness another california rise of the pheonix like in 2015?
No. Bora have Grossschartner for that.
 
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Screecher said:
tomorrow said:
i've just looked at the profiles. Besides the Mt. Baldy one, they all seem to look quite saganish, at least for standard sagan, only maybe the 2nd one if rode very actively, could trouble him. So I wonder, without the ITT and with him winning the first one, will we maybe witness another california rise of the pheonix like in 2015?
No. Bora have Grossschartner for that.

He lost 11 seconds yesterday. And was in one of the last positions of the bunch. Very odd.

They also have Schachmann. But he will not like Baldy too much, I think.
 
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tobydawq said:
Screecher said:
tomorrow said:
i've just looked at the profiles. Besides the Mt. Baldy one, they all seem to look quite saganish, at least for standard sagan, only maybe the 2nd one if rode very actively, could trouble him. So I wonder, without the ITT and with him winning the first one, will we maybe witness another california rise of the pheonix like in 2015?
No. Bora have Grossschartner for that.

He lost 11 seconds yesterday. And was in one of the last positions of the bunch. Very odd.

They also have Schachmann. But he will not like Baldy too much, I think.

And also with time bonuses, Sagan might have some considerable "virtual headstart" on Baldy. If it weren't for his not so good form earlier this year, I would favour him for all 5 stages preceding the Mt. Baldy one. He already has 14s thanks to the peloton split during the sprint. That could get close to the 40 something seconds as he had in 2015.
 
This is the 3rd time doing the South Tahoe stage. First time with not many categorized climbs, Sagan got tailed off just before the finish. Second time, with a tougher route, he was nowhere. He has no intention of hanging onto the jersey.

A 2015-like performance would be amazing. It’s worth remembering that he took a lot of time for that win in the rearranged Ventura TT (it was supposed to be in Big Bear but got switched due to weather).
 
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postmanhat said:
Why was there a four second gap between the top 6 and the peleton? Late crash?

One rider let a gap open in the last few hundred meters and the 10 or so riders in front realised that and drove it home while behind there was no one able to close that gap.
 
Break has about 4:00 advantage give or take. 100k to go.

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Riders in the group: Lachlan Morton (EF1), Darwin Atapuma (COF), Matteo Badilatti (ICA), Davide Ballerini (AST), Natnael Berhane (COF), Rob Britton (RLY), Alex Cataford (ICA), Lawson Craddock (EF1), David De La Cruz (INS), Rohan Dennis (TBM), Felix Grossschartner (BOH), Hugo Houle (AST), Evan Huffman (RLY), Cristian Camilo Muñoz (UAD) and Neilson Powless (TJV).