By How Much Will Quintana Win The 2016 Vuelta With?

By How Much Will Quintana Win The 2016 Vuelta With?

  • 0'00''-0'30''

    Votes: 1 2.4%
  • 0'30''-1'00''

    Votes: 2 4.9%
  • 1'00''-1'30''

    Votes: 9 22.0%
  • 1'30''-2'00''

    Votes: 6 14.6%
  • 2'00''-2'30''

    Votes: 3 7.3%
  • 2'30''-3'00''

    Votes: 1 2.4%
  • 3'00''-3'30''

    Votes: 3 7.3%
  • 3'30''-4'00''

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 4'+

    Votes: 1 2.4%
  • He won't win

    Votes: 15 36.6%

  • Total voters
    41
  • Poll closed .
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
 
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
 
Superstitious as I am I refuse to vote and say this thread should be closed, because it can bring bad luck. A huge anticlimax is still possible if Froome takes a lot of time back in the time trial. Aubisque is a climb that fits him better. I hope Quintana will win and I think he would deserve to, but it's far and far from over.

I wonder what will happen if Valverde attacks in a medium mountain stage.

There's also a grammatical error in the title.
 
Jun 5, 2016
35
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Illness can strike anyone. Basso in 2005 Giro for example. Casagrande in 2004 Tour de Suisse or 2001. Quintana too, although I'm enthusiastic over his form.
 
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not really. At Collada de la Gallina he only lost 15" to Valverde, Purito and Contador, then lost 20 (including bonus) in that stage where Purito beasted everyone into Barcelona. Then he beat everyone bar Contador and Kessiakoff in the TT, putting half a minute into Valverde, which in a hilly TT against him when he is in form is no mean feat. He wasn't in top shape, but he definitely wasn't dead. He died at Neila, and then Fuente De.
 
I think Quintana will lose around a minute to Froome in the ITT.

I don't think there will be much between them in the remaining mountain stages. I think Quintana will win the Vuelta, but by a narrow margin.
 
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not at all. He was already 50 seconds behind Purito but thats because Purito gained a lot of time with bonus seconds, the time he actually lost on the road wasn't that much. And he was still in front of Valverde and Contador who were 1st and 2nd in the final gc.
 
Brullnux said:
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not really. At Collada de la Gallina he only lost 15" to Valverde, Purito and Contador, then lost 20 (including bonus) in that stage where Purito beasted everyone into Barcelona. Then he beat everyone bar Contador and Kessiakoff in the TT, putting half a minute into Valverde, which in a hilly TT against him when he is in form is no mean feat. He wasn't in top shape, but he definitely wasn't dead. He died at Neila, and then Fuente De.
Nope that hilly TT was where he died. No way he shouldn't have been in red after that, even despite that amazing TT from Purito
 
PremierAndrew said:
Brullnux said:
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not really. At Collada de la Gallina he only lost 15" to Valverde, Purito and Contador, then lost 20 (including bonus) in that stage where Purito beasted everyone into Barcelona. Then he beat everyone bar Contador and Kessiakoff in the TT, putting half a minute into Valverde, which in a hilly TT against him when he is in form is no mean feat. He wasn't in top shape, but he definitely wasn't dead. He died at Neila, and then Fuente De.
Nope that hilly TT was where he died. No way he shouldn't have been in red after that, even despite that amazing TT from Purito
That TT was on stage 11 though
 
PremierAndrew said:
Brullnux said:
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not really. At Collada de la Gallina he only lost 15" to Valverde, Purito and Contador, then lost 20 (including bonus) in that stage where Purito beasted everyone into Barcelona. Then he beat everyone bar Contador and Kessiakoff in the TT, putting half a minute into Valverde, which in a hilly TT against him when he is in form is no mean feat. He wasn't in top shape, but he definitely wasn't dead. He died at Neila, and then Fuente De.
Nope that hilly TT was where he died. No way he shouldn't have been in red after that, even despite that amazing TT from Purito
Still not exactly 'dead' though. Out of shape, but nowhere near dead. Neila was the moment the final sword was lodged in him.
 
Gigs_98 said:
PremierAndrew said:
Brullnux said:
PremierAndrew said:
Gigs_98 said:
I voted 2:00-2:30
Froome did well today but I expect that he will get worse, just like in 2012. Therefore I also think the gc battle is definitely over except Quintana has a really bad day, crashes or someone does a long range attack (which seems unlikely since Movistar is ridiculously strong).
2012 Froome was already dead by this point
Not really. At Collada de la Gallina he only lost 15" to Valverde, Purito and Contador, then lost 20 (including bonus) in that stage where Purito beasted everyone into Barcelona. Then he beat everyone bar Contador and Kessiakoff in the TT, putting half a minute into Valverde, which in a hilly TT against him when he is in form is no mean feat. He wasn't in top shape, but he definitely wasn't dead. He died at Neila, and then Fuente De.
Nope that hilly TT was where he died. No way he shouldn't have been in red after that, even despite that amazing TT from Purito
That TT was on stage 11 though
It wasn't stage 10? Forget everything I said then :eek:
 
Apr 17, 2014
489
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I think he still needs 30-1min on Froome for the TT. Plus Contador may get stronger so a long range attack is not impossible. While Quintana is very much the massive favourite, this race is not over.
 

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