Re: Re:
Agreed. This is the heart of so many disagreements here and elsewhere. Rider 'X' is the best in the world at doing 'Y', but was beaten by Rider 'Z'. Ergo, Rider 'X' was not on top form, because beating everybody is the definition of being on top form.
Another problem is people applying small samples sizes to predict future events with total certainty. Froome was pretty impressive in 2012 in the third week of the TDF, yet everybody wants to focus on 2013 and 2015. Considering there is not a Pailheres/A3D or PSM MTF finish early in the race to try to stamp his authority on, I would not expect Froome to intentionally peak early as in past years.
damian13ster said:The thing is: you never know whether they are in a top shape. If Contador loses, people will claim it was because he was not in best shape. If Froome loses.... it will be exactly the same
Agreed. This is the heart of so many disagreements here and elsewhere. Rider 'X' is the best in the world at doing 'Y', but was beaten by Rider 'Z'. Ergo, Rider 'X' was not on top form, because beating everybody is the definition of being on top form.
Another problem is people applying small samples sizes to predict future events with total certainty. Froome was pretty impressive in 2012 in the third week of the TDF, yet everybody wants to focus on 2013 and 2015. Considering there is not a Pailheres/A3D or PSM MTF finish early in the race to try to stamp his authority on, I would not expect Froome to intentionally peak early as in past years.