I don't think the uphill sprint is hard enough for Valverde. Aranburu needs a harder finish too.
Colbrelli vs. Asgreen IMO
Obviously I'm rooting for Asgreen, but Holm (DS at the race) just said in an interview from the start, that DQ is riding for Jakobsen today, with Senechal as his lead out.
Sounds like DQ does not think the finish is that tough, as opposed to how the route reads.
Also Asgreen is probably saving himself for tomorrow, where he can realistically take the jersey, if he is still inside 25 seconds of the leader.