Critérium du Dauphiné May 30-June 6 2021

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Ineos have no-one that can beat the Slovenians one on one. All for one isn't going to cut it this time, they'll just be doing the work for the Slovenians. Imho, they have to go guerilla with as many guys as possible on the last climb. UAE and TJV should take responsibility to control the race anyway.
Pretty obvious at the moment that Ineos don't have a clear leader for the Tour. I think they will keep an open mind until the first few mountain stages.
 
Ability. Neither lost time yesterday, but I think only López was able to do the job (and not lose time).
Maybe. But then again, Mas looked strong yesterday sprinting to 5th place on the stage and Lopez in the end could barely hang on with the front group and ended the last with the s.t. group.

But things are working out well for them so far. It'd be nice to have a strong Movistar team at the Tour.
 
I know making fun of Kuss has become sort of a meme, but I don't get what he's done wrong today. He's been a top5 climber on the stage finishing in 6th, only 18s behind Porte. He blew up a little trying to follow Padun (Porte and Mas couldn't or decided not to), who was on another level. It's been a repeating occurrence for him to go too deep, too early in the climb, only to lose some time in the end. But his climbing today was more than fine.
 
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Mountain aren't very well suited to chaos and guerilla tactics IMO.
I'm not seeing a lot of options for them. Leave it to UAE & TJV to set the pace, have them burn through their domestiques. By the time Pog & Rog are down to their last man, Ineos could still be there with 4 or 5 guys. Then they can play the numbers game. If they try to go toe to toe, they will get massacred. At least, that's what i expect.
 
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I'm not seeing a lot of options for them. Leave it to UAE & TJV to set the pace, have them burn through their domestiques. By the time Pog & Rog are down to their last man, Ineos could still be there with 4 or 5 guys. Then they can play the numbers game. If they try to go toe to toe, they will get massacred. At least, that's what i expect.
Pretty much. Also if you try fancy attacks you can also just simply eliminate one of your own contenders. I think echelons might be their best bet. Or maybe straight up joining the breakaway with one of their contenders and hope Jumbo will want to make UAE work or something stupid, but I don't expect UAE to be that weak.

Fun stuff could happen if you have Ineos attacking breaks and Van Aert sneaking in.
 
They said Kwai was a favourite for a stage the other day, next minute he was on the front doing his normal robot dom role. They're just fan boys. I mean, Kirby was saying Bala didn't have it in him to close the gap to TGH despite him looking good and not going full bore. Bang next minute he takes the stage. He's clueless and cant call a race at all.
No Kuss is always riding super easy because if we stopped overrating him we'd have less reason to *** on Jumbo tactics.
If Kuss is not riding for a leader, his tactics or plans are like WTF are you doing?
And results even worse than as a domestique
 
Not that the stage was easy in 1995, and with Zulle up ahead, I'm sure it was fast throughout the stage. But it was the day after the first rest day, and Pantani set the record on Alpe d'Huez the next day on a hard profile as well.

But it's still not easy to compare the times, when the climb was 800 m shorter, and they didn't start racing proper before it. Many riders today beat the times not set by Indurain for instance.
 
I know making fun of Kuss has become sort of a meme, but I don't get what he's done wrong today. He's been a top5 climber on the stage finishing in 6th, only 18s behind Porte. He blew up a little trying to follow Padun (Porte and Mas couldn't or decided not to), who was on another level. It's been a repeating occurrence for him to go too deep, too early in the climb, only to lose some time in the end. But his climbing today was more than fine.
Ineos/Movistar were a bit hamstrung with Porte/Mas in between so the gap went out that much and Kuss had enough of a margin to come 6th.

He did not do anything wrong, but I am not sure how to rate the actual performance.
 
Everyone seems very sure that the Slovenians won't misfire.
Barring crashes or illness, they simply don't misfire. Roglic you could say last misfired at Amstel, a race his teammate won anyway. That crash at Paris-Nice doesn't really count, I'm not sure this race last year does either given his performance at the Tour. He's been so close to perfect since 2018 it's crazy.

Pogacar is much scarier, for all we know he's a robot who's incapable of misfiring. I certainly can't find any obvious examples of that happening to him as a pro.
 
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Barring crashes or illness, they simply don't misfire. Roglic you could say last misfired at Amstel, a race his teammate won anyway. That crash at Paris-Nice doesn't really count, I'm not sure this race last year does either given his performance at the Tour. He's been so close to perfect since 2018 it's crazy.

Pogacar is much scarier, for all we know he's a robot who's incapable of misfiring. I certainly can't find any obvious examples of that happening to him as a pro.
Roglic misfired the 2019 Giro. And arguably the odd classic here and there.
 
Barring crashes or illness, they simply don't misfire. Roglic you could say last misfired at Amstel, a race his teammate won anyway. That crash at Paris-Nice doesn't really count, I'm not sure this race last year does either given his performance at the Tour. He's been so close to perfect since 2018 it's crazy.

Pogacar is much scarier, for all we know he's a robot who's incapable of misfiring. I certainly can't find any obvious examples of that happening to him as a pro.
Roglič didn't misfire in Amstel. He was working for van Aert and did a great job until his mechanical.

There is always a possibility something goes wrong for them. I can see Pogačar struggling in the heat for example.
 
And ignore the fact that Carapaz has beaten Roglic and only lost to him due to time bonuses in their last 2 grand tours where they were riding for GC. And ignoring the fact that Pog's TT was an absolute freak and nowhere near represents his normal performance level.
Carapaz was seemingly incapable of winning a stage in the Vuelta. Roglic won 4 because he's a better time trialist & he's got a monstrous mountain sprint. That's why Carapaz will still struggle to beat Roglic this summer, notwithstanding the fact Roglic was also out of gas at the end of last season whereas this time he'll be fresh. So that's a lot against Richard Carapaz.

But this is cycling (anything can happen) & the stuff we're seeing (Astana & Bahrain upping their game) means we just can't be sure. But Pogacar & Roglic are still the clear favorites, for good reason.
 

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