Spain average like 15 medals every Olympics, and those medals tend to come later on. Spain only had five medals at day five of Tokyo, too.I'm just curious how pretty big countries like Mexico, Turkey, Switzerland, Poland or Spain are hanging for the dear life with 2/3 minor medals so far... Something is really off with these Olympics.
Turkey's best ever is 13 (Tokyo), and these were in mostly Karate (dropped), taekwondo, wrestling, and boxing (no medals yet).
Switzerland's recent best also 13, 6 of which in cycling (four in mtb).
Poland have won almost as many non-Athletics medals (3) as they did in 2020 (5).
I think there is a tendency in the clinic to try to find suspicions in very very unusual places. All the countries you have mentioned are performing in line with recent history. It's really just France overperforming and USA (relatively) underperformong.
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