Red Rick said:
So we've discussed the importance of these races a bit in the buildup toward a GT, but I've been thinking a bit of how they affect the GT doubles. I'm starting to think that part of the hardship of the Giro/Tour double isn't necessarily only that the Giro is harder and all that stuff, but also that the build up toward the Giro always has less racing than the Tour, and I think that has a part in how hard it is to maintain form after the Giro.
These days peaking twice per year for GTs is very difficult. The Giro/Vuelta because of the time in between is the best chance of doubling and many riders seem to win one and podium the other. What Froome did was kinda freakish. Either he is that much better than his rivals over three weeks with a superior team or his rivals re Nibali who did not look like himself in the Giro and never really threatened in the Vuelta have deteriorated. What confuses the issue even more is that Contador also rode the Tour and did better than most of the Giro/Vuelta riders in Spain. Being his last GT and home one obviously motivated Contador. And maybe Contador once his podium chances were gone in the Tour was also riding with the Vuelta in mind. And it seemed that teams were sick of responding to Contador's attacks and Froome had time up his sleeve in the Vuelta.
To me Froome struggled in the Tour but still managed to ride a strong Vuelta. Maybe Froome was riding much more conservatively in the Tour than he looked, knowing that the final TT would be no threat from Bardet and Uran was basically riding for a podium and was controlled even though the time gap was never that big on GC until the final TT. Quintana's performance in the Tour shows how hard it is to perform in the Giro/Tour and I still don't expect anyone to win both in the modern era. Maybe's Froome's Tour ride was a very calculating one and his ride in the Dauphine, untypical of previous performances in the same race, looked ordinary. Froome was probably preparing to peak in the third week of the Tour but it still doesn't explain how he held form in the Vuelta. Easily the performance of the year.
A riskier approach to the double, maybe knowing he was making the Tour harder for himself after narrowly missing out on the double the season before, paid off. It seems that Quintana tried a similar approach in the Giro/Tour attempt but being the hardest of the double attempts, even if he had won the Giro over Dumoulin, showed the effects of fatigue in the Tour especially in the second half of the race where he faded badly. The main risk with the double is in targeting two GTs. It's easy to wind up winning neither. The temptation to go into the first race on a lighter preparation could easily backfire. Froome showed signs of that in the Tour but his team made a huge difference and he looked better in the final week. While Quintana couldn't find the margins in the mountains that he needed to to defeat Dumoulin.