tidean said:
Nah you're wrong, the other two tours are 2nd place he wants the big podium step. Unless you can "buy" a team you cannot just place yourself on a team, Jan did it by being german, Lance by being American. There has been no big Australian sponser to fund an Aussie "hero".
He can make the leap from 2nd place in the only tour that gets you remembered in a non cycling country like Australia, or in the world outside cycling for that matter. And i reckon that is a big leap from 2nd to 1st in the TDF.
He has not got many shots left but he will do it, the peloton is getting cleaner & he has a good team, maybe not great but good. Most tour winners need a bit of luck in the 3 weeks.
He has the determination, experience (he's been winning world class races for 20 years) & he has a good enough team. A couple of good rolls of the dice & he will be standing on the top step in Paris.
Sorry to bust your bubble, but it's just not going to happen and your argument that he hasn't won the Tour because he's Australian and there is no Australian sponsored team is bs. LeMond won the Tour on French teams. Contador won the Tour on and American team and a Kazakh team. Evans has issues beyond being Australian. His "chaperone" in the mountains for a time while he was with Lotto, Mario Aerts is quoted from the latest Pro Cycling magazine in an article about Jurgen Van Den Broeck in comparing the two riders:
"Cadel left at the right time because he was stressing himself and stressing the team. Rooming with him at the Tour was quite a nervous experience. I never knew what I could and couldn't say. I used to be afraid that if I mentioned the race, he'd lie awake all night thinking about it. With Jurgen, I don't have that. With him, the more you talk about the race, the happier he is."
Aerts reveals that Evans eccentricities weren't confined to the team hotel, either.
"In the race he would he would pick another GC guy in the morning of every stage and want to follow him all day. He never announced that this was his strategy but after awhile, I figured it out. He'd get you to ride up to whoever the guy was on that particular day and then say "Stop!"... (Excerpt from the Pro Cycling article by Daniel Friebe)
In the week long stage races he can maintain his composure but when the grand tours roll around he always in some way makes some tactical error and/or simply implodes and buckles under the pressure. His fragile sensibilities seem to get the best of him over the course of 3 weeks.