Right now with the form he is in and the team he has i don't understand how you can see it any other way. Of course his form can dip until the Tour but he usually very good at reach his peak at the right time it seems.
In a 1 week stage race, yes. He is the favourite. But a three week stage race is something else. There, Pogačar has a slight advantage, since his amazing recovery comes into play. Though on the other hand UAE was here with basically the best mountain team they can put together and Jumbo came here with a young B team. In the Tour Jumbo will have a much better team to control the race. So all in all, I would put them on equal terms. But everyone else is very far behind . thogh as we have learned in 2014 - misfortune can cause surprises.