Well, it's very early in the season for Rog, his first racing action. If he's all in for the TDF, his not having great form now might not be a huge concern. He is a year older ... not the greatest thing for him, now. So maybe he is taking a slightly different approach to his buildup for the Tour. One has to imagine that if he were to win the Tour and not make a podium in any other race in 2024, he and Bora would still consider this year a gigantic success. That said, I think he would need some great luck (and bad luck for rivals) to have a shot at winning this year's Tour.