Blakeslee said:
Garmin's biggest problem is the way they have led out the sprint over the last two stages. They have been trying to set up their train and control the front of the field for the entire last kilometer (like Columbia did so effectively last year) and in doing so are playing right into Columbia's hands.
First they aren't collectively fast enough to put the other sprinters teams into difficulty, and second by going so early they end up timing the sprint incorrectly and end up stranding their sprinter with no final lead out man too far from the line. The last two stages this has resulted in Renshaw and Cavendish getting a free ride for the final kilometer depositing them in a perfect position where as the Garmin train fizzles out Garmin's sprinter is left to take on both Renshaw and Cavendish on their own.
Garmin needs to try to sit back more and let Columbia pull in the final kilometer. I don't think Columbia has the train strong enough to be able to control the front of the race for the entire final kilometer like they did last year.
That was true before stage 5, but then they started using their GC guys to do what Hincapie did last year. Proabably not quite as good as having mr.varicose vein of the century governing proceedings, but imagine this would have the desired effect, and leave Renshaw at full strength, which he's certainly displayed in the last two wins.
Since Garmin clearly don't have an entire team as strong as HTC that they can use in that way, they should (as written in this thread) let HTC bring it in before going out with their 3 man train...which they really need to practise a hell of a lot more.
Tyler gets props for being fast enough to come in second whilst injured, but i can't see him winning with this kind of approach regardless, unless HTC gets it wrong/is disrupted, as per stage 4.