For News: Who will win the TDU?

Apr 9, 2011
3,034
2
0
Gerrans - Form and the HTF will take it away from the sprinters - GreenEdge will want the win and from the Australian Champion even better.
 
Feb 25, 2010
3,854
1
0
I agree with Gerrans, he has some racing in the legs, won the National Championships and Greenedge will want to give a nice show at their home tour.

You also have the finish on Willunga hill instead of 20 km after they pass it, Gerrans is good on finishes like that and it gives the puncheurs a chance to put some good time in to the sprinters.
 
Jan 18, 2010
3,059
0
0
Michael Rogers - considering how strong he looked at the back end of last year and also had a decent showing in the Australian National RR.
One of the classiest riders in the race.
 
Dec 27, 2010
6,674
1
0
Matt Goss to pick up bonus seconds in the flat bunch finishes, and limit his losses well enough on Willunga (which let's face it, is not Alpe D'Huez) to win the overall.
 
Jan 11, 2010
15,622
4,563
28,180
Yes, perfect race for EBH, who usually finds his form pretty fast. He can pick up bonus seconds in the sprints, and unlike Goss he could even win the Willunga stage.
 
Jun 9, 2011
2,926
9
11,495
Ratto will have his break through this year starting with a win on Willunga hill and taking GC!
 
Mar 8, 2010
3,263
1
0
gorilla_wanto_02tfk.jpg


He will win, because he won it many times and loves the race.
 
Jun 9, 2010
2,007
0
0
I'm going with Gerro for the GC too... He looked pretty fit in the Aussie roadnats...

Eddy boss will take an sprint tho :p
 
Jun 20, 2011
247
0
0
My favourite is Ryder Hesjedal. He usually finds quite a nice shape at the begininng of the season and the route should suit him well. He's fast enough to grab bonus seconds on the top of Willunga and it will be decisive. I doubt he will only be a domestuque for Haussler since Barbie might crack on Willunga.
 
Mar 13, 2009
3,852
2,363
16,680
It's a hard race to predict because it only has one non-flat stage, and that one's a hill and not a mountain proper, so there is a bit of a larger 'luck' (or if you prefer, 'well timed attack') factor than there would be for a 10km climb or something. Not to mention the fact that form is a differing priority for many riders, so the best on paper might not be the best.

That said, I've got my eye on Gerrans, Goss, Boasson Hagen, LL Sanchez, and Valverde. The hilltop finish should take things out of the hands of the pure sprinters, despite the bonus seconds.
 
Oct 23, 2009
5,772
0
17,480
EBH, because it's his best chance to screw up his form for the classics which seemingly is one of his dearest hobbys. Seriously though, his base form is always quite good and the course fits him well. His biggest challenge is the infamous "all for one" tactic Sky always opts for, in which case they'll probably make him pull on the front for Rogers who, in the absence of a time trial, certainly cannot win this race.
 
Dec 18, 2009
451
0
0
EBH - team built around him and hes currently on form.

He can mix it in the sprints and strong enough for 'The Hill'.
 
Oct 23, 2009
5,772
0
17,480
nevada said:
EBH - team built around him and hes currently on form.

He can mix it in the sprints and strong enough for 'The Hill'.
Actually Sky said some time ago they're going for Rogers in the GC and Sutton for the sprints.
 
Apr 10, 2011
4,818
0
0
maltiv said:
Actually Sky said some time ago they're going for Rogers in the GC and Sutton for the sprints.

Diversion by Sky ? You never know ;)

Although Sutton looks preety strong too, could be a dark horse.
 
May 3, 2011
1,793
13
10,510
nevada said:
EBH - team built around him and hes currently on form.

He can mix it in the sprints and strong enough for 'The Hill'.

What are you basing that on?