You misrepresent what I said. Of course you can look at statistics, but it's just plain wrong to make assumptions about individuals today based on historical statistics.Franklin said:Oh my... what... wait... are you sayiong that statistically the chances of a GT winner being clean is extremely remote? Say it ain't so....
No, it's absolutely not faith, it's exactly analysis. Anyone saying they know he's clean is using faith.
This is like hektoren who think that because every human is an individual you can't look at the statistics. But Hektoren is playing games as he fully well understands that the chances of Froome being clean is both statistically unlikely as knowing fully well that his career path is statistically of the trodden path. Hektoren smply rootd for his fan crush as he does not want analysis (which he clearly is capable of) to tar a rider he likes.
And yeah, there are other statistics at play (Riders and doctors comes to mind... or managers lieing flat out about medical things). But Froome is an individual, so even though everything is raising blood-red flags, it's most likely he's clean
And NO, I don't know that the chance of Froome riding clean is statistically unlikely. I simply like to weigh known facts and not listen to idle speculation and wild rumors reported as fact by some of the more inspired Clinic-dwellers.
In my town lives a local celebrity, known from television. He's rumored to be a heavy drinker, as he sometimes "smells of alcohol" and is walking very unsteadily. He's even been observed in public seemingly comatose. These rumors are stated as fact by people who don't know know either him or the real fact: The actor has a very poorly controlled diabetes, and has had episodes of diabetic ketoacidosis, bordering on diabetic coma. He reeks of acetone, not alcohol! Even though he has told about his medical condition in local newspapers, there are still nay-sayers who wants him to be an alcoholic, because it fits their prejudiced opinion of celebrities at large, and thus the rumors persist to this day.
I most certainly don't have a fan crush on Froome. I just hope he is riding clean, and without hope I wouldn't bother watching cycling.