Giro di Lombardia: Who is going to win it?

[jens_attacks]

phil's problem will be his team because just like in paris-tours and canada they won't bother too much.so if the others will drop him somewhere it's game over.can't see it though and if he wins a 3rd lombardia,chapeau!

as other favourites i see:uran,mollema,sammy and voeckler.

 

[greenedge]

Gilbert, Mollema, Cunego, Sanchez and Martin. In that order.

 

[zapata]

My man Cunego will win the last real Lombardia before it gets turned into a summer race.

That would be great. Cunego, or Sanchez.

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

where is uran in this poll??

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

Forum´s poll tool has a maximum of ten options. Those 9 riders are who I considerer most but of course Uran, Pozzato, Lovkvist, Basso, Voeckler, etc are important possibilities. The ones in the poll are my top favourites.

you consider gerrans more than uran

 

[Richeypen]

you consider gerrans more than uran

And Gerrans isnt even riding

 

[bicing]

Mollema will finally win something big! And well deservedly so!!
The forum's champion!

 

[Parrulo]

My man Cunego will win the last real Lombardia before it gets turned into a summer race.

my thoughts exactly, tho i did vote for costa just because its the first time a portuguese guy appears on a poll on the possibility of winning a monument

 

[WillemS]

I don't think there's anyone out there who could beat Gilbert in his best form. I don't know how good his shape is going to be, but guessing from his desperate attacks in Paris-Tours, I suspect he is going to be good, real good. At the ame time, Mollema impressed me in Emilia, but that's still a different race. I don't know, I still think Gilbert has the biggest chance.

But it's cycling, so you never know.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Rui Costa is still much better pick than Pozzato

Indeed, Pozzato has no chance in hell on a Lombardia like course.

Sure, Beghelli, a race won in the past by the likes of Petacchi and Ventoso, that's right in Pozzato's street. But not Lombardia (and Emilia and other hard hilly races for the record)

 

[roundabout]

I actually think that on the pre-2010 route or the version that finished in Bergamo in top form Pozzato could have finished top-10.

But certainly not on the current course.

 

[hfer07]

Nibali FTW- even if I hardly believe it

 

[AussieGoddess]

1 - Gilbert
2 - Mollema
3 - Sanchez

 

[mewmewmew13]

I voted for Gilbert, because if he wants it and nothing bad happens or a mech he will take it.
BUT I think that it will be a dark horse if PG doesn't get free to the finish ....like johan van Summeren.

pure guesspeculation

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

I'd love to see Mollema win it, but it has to be said that he's yet to show the requisite killer instinct. His only significant win since winning Avenir years ago remains a stage of the Tour of Poland and that's not really Lombardia winning palmares.

Gilbert is obviously the favourite if he has any kind of form, but I'll be cheering for just about anyone to beat him.

 

[mr. tibbs]

Cunego!

Just kidding, Gilbert.

 

[User Guide]

Voted TGBM,have no idea to be honest just have a hunch wont be Philbert

 

[Swabian Lass]

I voted Samu, but that's heart more than head, it's hard to see past Gilbert, but he might be tired (yeah, well). I'm expecting (hoping?) Mollema and Urans to be up there in the mix as well.

 

[sublimit]

Roche if Gilbert doesn´t of course

Roche could be a dark horse for this one, I expect him to go well.

1.Gibert
2.Uran
3.Roche

 

[Ruudz0r]

Gilbert (got a season bet on him for him winning AGR + LBL + Lombardia so he better win this 1!)

But I would be fine with TGBM, Martin of Pozzovivo aswell, although Pozzovivo can never win a race like this he ll get 8th!

 

[ultimobici]

My man Cunego will win the last real Lombardia before it gets turned into a summer race.

My head says Gilbert, but my heart says this.

Black armbands for Saturday methinks.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

I'd love to see Mollema win it, but it has to be said that he's yet to show the requisite killer instinct. His only significant win since winning Avenir years ago remains a stage of the Tour of Poland and that's not really Lombardia winning palmares.

Gilbert is obviously the favourite if he has any kind of form, but I'll be cheering for just about anyone to beat him.

That killer instinct **** is always such bull****. Half of the time when you look at those guys 2nd places it's because the break hasn't been pulled back and nonsense like that.
Eg. They were unlucky. You need luck too.

 

[theyoungest]

That killer instinct **** is always such bull****. Half of the time when you look at those guys 2nd places it's because the break hasn't been pulled back and nonsense like that.
Eg. They were unlucky. You need luck too.

Well, it's a bit strange when you're quite explosive and have a decent sprint like Mollema, to have just one pro win to your name. Dan Martin is more or less the same type of rider, but he's won quite a bit more, including a couple of times against Mollema. And not because he's stronger.

 

[greenedge]

And he also won a stage at a GT.

What about Duarte. Good climber and demonstrated with his Under 23 WC win in 08 he can sprint. ( a dark horse/ hunch ) He has to do something soon.

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

That killer instinct **** is always such bull****. Half of the time when you look at those guys 2nd places it's because the break hasn't been pulled back and nonsense like that.
Eg. They were unlucky. You need luck too.

You do indeed need luck. But there's also a skill to turning ability and form into wins. I think that Mollema has the ability to rack up wins but he hasn't done so.

As theyoungest notes Dan Martin is a very similar rider to Mollema, is about the same age and made his step forward a year and a half ago at the same time as Mollema in the same race. They even have the same ungainly riding style. Since then Martin has seven wins, Mollema has yet to add a second. I don't think that luck explains that. I think that Martin has picked up the knack of turning ability into wins faster than Mollema has. I have every confidence that Bauke will get there sooner or later however.