1 Uran
2 Contador
3 Porte
Uran ready for the next step, he's gotten better and better every year now in GTs (ok, since 2012). He'll be stronger again this year. And already last year he was kind of unlucky not to win it. 14 dropped on every mountain? Almost. But the way he's dropped counts too. Instead of doing the spectacular but stupid Evans thing, hanging on then blow, he let the others go then went up his own pace. And wasn't dropped on Zoncolan, might be wrong but with all the controversy from the Stelvio downhill I don't think Quintana didn't want to make another point there, show that he indeed was the strongest. Basically Uran got beaten clearly only twice. Val Martello and the TT Monte Grappa. Pay attention on the downhill from Stelvio and... not unlikely he'd won it. Not sure either.
Of course he won't win the same amount of time in the TT against Contador, but he should win time there, Contador is far from his 09 TT performance. And then just a tiny improvement and those 20" he was losing regularly in the mountains are gone too.
And so far this season was promising, while since his first GT result at the Giro 12 he's been in complete training mode until the Giro, this year he had decent results. If it was with the same effort he put in in the last years, he'll win by 20 minutes.... but more likely it will be a pretty close race.
Porte... will be the strongest of the contenders in the TT, then defend with his train. Contador going, Uran in tow... possible.
Aru.. we'll see, I never trust the "second year" on top... often I'm wrong, but for the moment I think Aru will have a slight setback.
Can't see anybody else winning it really. Pozzovivo top 5 max, König the same. Kreuziger wrong team.