Agree.
An accidentes or punctures can be bad luck, but they're also due to the way you ride.
Van der Poel´s had less punctures than other riders in Paris-Roubaix these years. It's not because he's lucky, it's because he's better.
He hasn't had a puncture in Paris-Roubaix for a long time; this year yes. He didn't have one last year, when he won comfortably; this year someone was pushing him. Simple coincidence?
Many incidents can be bad luck, but when someone has them all the time, and another rider has them rarely, it's for a reason.
Rogic looked uncomfortable from the start. He had more chances of getting a puncture riding like this than Pidcock, and Pidcock crashed today, but after spending three years in this race without doing so, Roglic, 1/1. He only finished one Tour since 2020 due to accidents....
The importance of positioning. It's as obvious as if you go first you won't crash because someone has an accident in front of you.
I thought Pidcock would attack earlier for that reason. The smaller the group, the less risk of accidents.