In theory, they wouldn't even need to make it to the Mortirolo or Gavia - Lloyd has 29 points, and you could take 15 today, then 18 tomorrow, and overhaul him. However, Lloyd is bound to break away on one of the two days, plus Basso (25), Evans (25), Turpin (20), Scarponi (17), Garzelli (17), Tondó (16), Bertogliatti (16), Stortoni (16) and Chris Anker Sørensen (15) are all within striking distance. On the stage with the huge breakaway Lloyd was dropped and was struggling, and so Bakelandts and de Greef had to keep Tondó away from the mountains points for him (Tondó might be ruing not going for them on the first climb of the day, otherwise it'd be a turnaround of 12 (+8 for Tondó who was 4th = 2 points, -4 for Lloyd who was 1st=10 points), Lloyd would have 25 and Tondó 24). I expect to see one of Tondó or Garzelli in the break either today or tomorrow in the aim of overhauling that gap, and Stortoni and Sørensen wouldn't be much of a stretch of the imagination either. Basso and Evans will inevitably pick up points because they'll come near the top of the stages.