I think THe BAdger is not that stupid (in fact he was probably the smartest ever), and I'm sure he guages the different disciplines in order of importance... and I think he'd know! I'm sorry to point this out so directly, but if you don't know what a rolleur is and the importance of this discipline/talent in a Grand TOur, then where the heck is your critique based? I'd personally (and irrelevantly) rate in the disciplines inthe following order and values... Climbing 10, TT-ing 8, Tactics7, Rolleur 6, Team quality 8 (9 if theres a team TT)
Contador will win despite being isolated on 3 major climbs. Just too good in the steep stuff. Unless WADA get to the bottom of his Vm acheived/kgs-mass readings suggesting too-high red-cell readings.
Schlenk the Younger second
? 3rd
?? 4th
Armstrong 5th.... sadly. I think the TOur De Suisse final TT uphill time splits were telling. I really do want him to win, but he probably won't podium.
Everyone's writing off Basso (not without reason) but I suspect he's going to be a real player in the big passes, and don't undersetimate his team to drag him to where he needs to be. Rolleurs!!