That would be correct if you would be able to maintain steady speed and power output for those 50 laps at that line.
I'm not a trackie by any mean but the little experience I have riding on track is telling me that the occasional drift close or beyond the red line into the steep bank will slow you down way more than you think.
Just watch it here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1czalpk4j7E and count how many times he hit the red line (or was very close to the line) right at the first corner.
Again, I'm not an expert on track riding but you can tell that perhaps he needed a more time and practice on
that velodrome and specifically on
that bike in
that position as anybody who have done something like 40k TT would tell you that adaptation is the name of the game and you know that better then anyone else around here being a cycling pro coach/trainer.
Wiggo is planning 8 weeks of specific training prior to his attempt and that will make so much difference compare to an only week or two Dennis had after the TDU.