Giro d'Italia Il Giro d'Italia 2025: Who will win? 2nd rest day poll.

[VayaVayaVaya]

I'm going:

1. Roglic
2. Del Toro
3. Ayuso

 

[Lequack]

I think everyone is looking at UAE vs Red Bull, meanwhile Carapaz is just waiting to pounce

 

[Summoned]

I went with Roglic, as that’s who I started with, and I don’t think he is out of it yet. But was very tempted to pick Ciccone, as it is possible his time has come, and I like his team. Pedersen, Konrad, Vacek, and Verona all look like they can contribute/support in different ways.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

I think everyone is looking at UAE vs Red Bull, meanwhile Carapaz is just waiting to pounce

Richard TommyCash.

 

[CyclistAbi]

I voted for Primož Roglič.

 

[topcat]

I voted for Ciccone cause I want him to win but I think the final order will be
1. del Toro
2. Ayuso
3. Ciccone

 

[Red Rick]

I voted for Primož Roglič.

We never doubted you.

 

[Gratemans]

I think everyone is looking at UAE vs Red Bull, meanwhile Carapaz is just waiting to pounce

I'd like that. I'm not sure at all that it'll happen but if anybody is gonna pull a rabbit out of the hat in week three, this is one of my prime candidates.

 

[red_flanders]

All will be decided in the last week, as despite all the groaning, this course will deliver meaningful differences. I'm hopeful that some of the stages which appear unfriendly to GC action will actually deliver some interesting tactical situations and some hopefully legendary attacks.

Hard to see past the experience, finishing punch, and power of Roglic. Caveats about crashing out, etc., etc. Ayuso seems like a bit of a head case to me, and while he looks quite strong physically I see him slipping somewhere. Just not a believer. Del Toro shows his mettle and hangs on.

Looks like a great race. Hope I'm totally wrong and the unexpected happens.

1. Roglič
2. Del Toro
3. Ayuso

 

[Savant12]

Roglic still playing it ice cool.

 

[Lorzenz08]

Roglic about to play a 4D chess move. Trust the process

 

[AnotherArmChair]

I voted for Ayuso before the Giro began so sticking with that

I look at the top 10 and think its a very open race in many ways so who knows and isn't that great ...some uncertainty at last

I also think that probably 2 in the top 10 wont be there 2 weeks from now

 

[veganrob]

Pre race I chose "other". First rest day I'm going:
1 Del Toro
2-3 Carapaz and Bernal

 

[Berniece]

I am still surprised at the support for Del Toro's credentials to win this Giro ahead of Ayuso and Roglic. We have had only one MTF and that was a bunch sprint for the GC contenders except for Ayuso who took 4 seconds.

The main reason he looks good was his performance on the sterrato stage. Del Toro looked super strong (confirmed by Bernal's post stage comments). But that is a sample of 1 ?

In the ITT stage 2, Del Toro and Ayuso were split by just one second.

Tuesday's TT will tell us more. But with Del Toro he is such an unknown quantity over three weeks. Not saying it can't happen but if he wins this Giro with what is yet to come it would be a big shock. Also remember how Roglic won in 2023 on the penultimate MTT. We know Rogla is good over three weeks.

I don't see it either, but I get that people love to see him win. It's always fun to root for the youngster/underdog.

 

[Tricycle Rider]

Wout not strong enough to get away from fans

https://twitter.com/x/status/1924237330157568117

View: https://x.com/opaisdociclismo/status/1924237330157568117

Heh, love how that kid chasing Wout uphill is wearing a UAE shirt, it's almost like a replay of the stage 9 finale where Del Toro is the kid.

 

[Cookster15]

Del Toro contesting these finishes can tell us he's strong but it can also betray an insecurity on what he knows is coming. But not sure getting a small time bonus today is going to help him on stages 16, 19 or 20. He is such an unknown in grand tours we are all guessing.

What is in Del Toro's favor is the competition. Roglic doesn't look great but then he didn't seem great in 2023 until it really mattered on Lussari.

 

[Red Rick]

I think it's pretty neutral. If anything it's a pissing contest for the UAE leadership position.

At the same time I think these sprints are not a good predictor of climbing performance, and his TTs haven't been outstanding to say the least.

 

[red_flanders]

Del Toro contesting these finishes can tell us he's strong but it can also betray an insecurity on what he knows is coming. But not sure getting a small time bonus today is going to help him on stages 16, 19 or 20. He is such an unknown in grand tours we are all guessing.

What is in Del Toro's favor is the competition. Roglic doesn't look great but then he didn't seem great in 2023 until it really mattered on Lussari.

I don't think it betrays insecurity, I think he's just feeling great and doing what feels natural.

Today he let Ayuso beat him for the bonus seconds, or at least it was going to be VERY close and he backed off. Seems anything but insecure. Just young and having fun out there.

We are all just guessing, but seeing a rider feeling that strong, with such ease and supplesse on the bike...it's hard to ignore. I would still bet on Roglic with even odds, and I hold to my prediction above, but...is anyone really going to be shocked if the kid wins? He has to be dropped. Might happen, there are a lot of cols to climb, but haven't seen it yet. He's been strong on every terrain so far.

 

[Cookster15]

there are a lot of cols to climb, but haven't seen it yet. He's been strong on every terrain so far.

Agree with the gist of your post but we really have seen only one proper MTF and it was a bunch sprint by the GC except for Ayuso who took 4 seconds. We know Rogla and others like Bernal should be good on Finestra. We are guessing how Del Toro will fair on the big climbs to come in the 3rd week.

 

[topcat]

Colle delle Finestre - Window pass
Finestra - Window
The last 8 km have no asphalt. I expect del Toro to be good on it.

 

[CyclistAbi]

Del Toro was bait and Rogla didn't fell for it, stage 13 revealed that. Said that impressive performances and results by del Toro at this Giro edition.

 

[Netserk]

Revised (EDIT: 2.0) GC prediction:

1. Rogla
2. Shates
3. Sniper
4. The Bull
5. Geesus
6. Richie Rich
7. Eganito
8. Ayuso
9. Ciccone
10. Caruso

 

[Rackham]

Colle delle Finestre - Window pass
Finestra - Window
The last 8 km have no asphalt. I expect del Toro to be good on it.

18km consistently averaging between 8% and 10% from start to finish of the climb. If Del Toro survives that and wins the Giro it's not because he's good riding on gravel.

 

[Zoetemelk-fan]

I want it to be Del Toro but it still feels like the sensible bet is Roglic already though it is a concern that he only really has Pellizarri in the form to be a difference maker for a long range attack.

Realistic wish list 1/2/3

Del Toro
Tiberi
Storer

Prediction

Roglic
Ayuso
Tiberi

Nice with the feasability to bump this thread. Though, having a rest day myself anyway I'll leave my bid

Wish to the genie:
Carapaz
Rogla
Del Toro

Prediction:
Ayuso
Rogla
S. Yates

Realistic:
Pedersen
Pedersen
Pedersen