They have always had light racing schedules. Both this and last year were more obviously affected by illness and crashes.I'm not only talking about the past week or so of this Vuelta. And the context that Visma has had way more underperformers than overperformers for the second season running, while having most of their riders deliberately doing light schedules, is also a red flag.
Jorgenson was great last year, and he had the exact same schedule up to the Tour. He had a saddle sore in the pre-Dauphiné training camp and got ill during the Tour this year. In the spring, he was super strong.