Vuelta a España La Vuelta Femenina 2023 (1st-7th May)

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Fito (the traditional precursor to Covadonga in La Vuelta Masculina) would probably have created carnage in women's cycling, as would Los Bedules (used in the 2021 stage) but I'm not so sure about Mohandí. Not among the 'bigs' though. It may dislodge some of the people who are struggling for form now, probably the most important thing may be if Lippert gets over it because she's struggled the last couple of days as her form runs out post-Ardennes and if she doesn't then Annemiek may be isolated and then SD Worx can try to play havoc to set Demi up. I'd be tempted to send her up the road on Mohandí to ward against that if I'm in the Movistar car . Canyon have three cards to play but none of which I'm especially trusting of here; Bauernfeind is unproven, Chabbey I think would need to win from a break and unless that time she dropped late in the stage yesterday was to save energy for that, then I'm not convinced she has the legs, while Niewiadoma, when will I ever learn in the prediction game - she's a very good climber but seems to be better in that mid-range kind of climb, the 4-8km kind of distance, and tends to suffer more on the longer ones. The real question is, how much can Realini gain? She looked so good in Abu Dhabi, but she's far less proven than Annemiek or Demi, how much did yesterday take from her?
Don't think Canyon will play a role. Niewiadoma had a stomach bug these last couple of days so unless she is suddenly completely recovered from that she won't play a role. Bauernfeinds problem is that she lost so much in the crosswind stage that neither Movistar nor SDW would even have to react to her immidiately. Chabbey, like you said, most likely doesn't have the legs for a finish like that.
It'll be AVV vs Vollering with Realini being the wildcard, really curious to see how she does on this (and I'm still mad that she has to ride a bike which is almost 20% of her body weight).
 
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