Ah, the explainers are getting ready. It doesn't matter if he doped, it doesn't matter if he lied to make millions of dollars and live the lifestyle of a celebrity. It wouldn't matter if he committed crimes, because he got away with it and that's something we should respect and aspire too?
Cheaters have been ahead of tests for years. I won't make this a Clinic thing, but a guy could have transfused his own blood on every race day he ever had and not gotten caught. Clean tests mean nothing - that's why the very expensive Biological Passport exists, and it means next to nothing, because cheaters can manipulate their values so they are consistent.
Back on topic, I don't expect Lance to do anything in the race, but the prediction here seems kind of random. The Sunday stage is killer, and a lot of guys might finish twenty minutes back without resting up. To do that, and win the stage the next day would be unbelievable. Literally. I watch lots of cycling, and if Armstrong wins a stage here, I'm done with it forever. But Stage 15 has an Hors Categorie climb, then a descent that a lot of people say is so dangerous that it would be a good place to bear Contador (and I guess Andy, who isn't as good a descender, and asked Alberto to slow it down the other day because he'd rather lose a few seconds).
So you think that Lance will be the first man up an HC climb on a key stage, and descend as well as anyone in the peloton? I'm enjoying the race a lot, but part of me will be relieved eleven days from now when the story has been written and the 2010 reality revealed. I hope you enjoy the Leadville 100 MTB.