D-Queued said:Anything is possible, right?
Like Jan could have been the only child athlete selected for a 14.25 school, aka a doping academy, that wasn't doped.
Maybe...
And, he could have been the only child athlete selected for one of those acadamies that wasn't doped and then who also reached such extraordinary heights.
Maybe...
Even though he doped much, much later, maybe he didn't dope at all until then?
Maybe...
And, maybe there is no reason that he was one of two former E German athletes cited in that 2002 article about the former Stasi program. Maybe there was no connection, whatsoever.
Maybe...
Maybe the admission about amphetamines at that time (2002), was also just out of the blue and completely unconnected with any prior, ongoing or future doping.
Maybe...
Then again. Maybe it is just me, but I would find it far easier to believe that he was the best cyclist of his generation, given how much doping made racehorses out of donkeys, than believe Ullrich wasn't being doped when he attended an East German doping school.
Maybe it is just me. Maybe.
Dave.
Neworld said:Dave,
I may not have the sweeping, black and white, dogmatic absolute beliefs about JUs exposure to doping that you hold, but I do agree with you he was a seasoned doper. There is strong evidence that for some reason (fear of testing positive...) he doped less than others for a period of time in his pro career, and, many clean and doped cyclists think he was gifted. I have stated as an ancillary question..."why didn't other stasi profiled EG riders become selected into GT positions as they surely doped like JU no? Maybe it was because they were not as good. You don't really think JU was average do you?
Another perspective ..."that it is highly likely that JU was exposed to doping sometime before he turned pro given his exposure to EG methods".
But, are you in a learned position to discuss:
1. Potential long-term or short-term gains of the unknown program that JU may have been on?
2. Does having an unknown doping program before age 16, between 16-20...have a positive impact on future doped or clean athletic performances?
3. Do you have information about paediatric exercise physiology, and its future impact on muscle and mitochondrial development, wrt doping that we are unaware of?
As for the 2002 citation linking JU and another athlete to the Stasi...I am unaware of that info but would love to read it.
D-Queued said:First, wrt to other comments (e.g. Bavarianrider) that the 14.25 resources might not have been invested into a cyclist, like JU, because cycling isn't swimming, consider this:
Not following policy in the former East Germany was SERIOUS.
If someone put JU into a doping academy, then wtf would they have been doing wasting space on him if they weren't fully committed to having him on the program? This was a program monitored by the Stasi fercrissakes.
That someone, or those someones who were overlooking Jan's development would have elected to waste space on him, but for some reason not follow Stasi policy, is absurd.
It is a fallacious argument that he was effectively alone in not receiving his vitamins.
On #1 and #2, the evidence is there from the existence of the Stasi program and the success of its participants.
On #2 and #3, yes, there is evidence that natural genetic aerobic gifts can be enhanced during the mid to late teens. I am sure that this has been discussed previously here and anticipate that you are likely aware of this (i.e. I am too lazy to search right now).
Now, of course JU was talented. That is why he would have been selected in the first place. ... How talented was he naturally? Who knows.
Dave.
D-Queued said:First, wrt to other comments (e.g. Bavarianrider) that the 14.25 resources might not have been invested into a cyclist, like JU, because cycling isn't swimming, consider this:
Not following policy in the former East Germany was SERIOUS.
If someone put JU into a doping academy, then wtf would they have been doing wasting space on him if they weren't fully committed to having him on the program? This was a program monitored by the Stasi fercrissakes.
That someone, or those someones who were overlooking Jan's development would have elected to waste space on him, but for some reason not follow Stasi policy, is absurd.
It is a fallacious argument that he was effectively alone in not receiving his vitamins.
On #1 and #2, the evidence is there from the existence of the Stasi program and the success of its participants.
On #2 and #3, yes, there is evidence that natural genetic aerobic gifts can be enhanced during the mid to late teens. I am sure that this has been discussed previously here and anticipate that you are likely aware of this (i.e. I am too lazy to search right now).
Now, of course JU was talented. That is why he would have been selected in the first place.
We come back, however, to the basic challenge of separating talent from doped enhancement.
It cannot be done.
We can be pretty sure he wasn't a donkey, and JU likely didn't come fourth in any swim meet when he was 13 years old. How talented was he naturally? Who knows.
Dave.
BullsFan22 said:"Not following policy in the former East Germany was SERIOUS." Now, how do you know that? You lived there at the time, or your friends were originally from East Germany or what?
BullsFan22 said:"Not following policy in the former East Germany was SERIOUS." Now, how do you know that? You lived there at the time, or your friends were originally from East Germany or what?
Bavarianrider said:Again, cycling has never been a priority in doping programms of the GDR. Much less for 15 year old boys. respources were limited in the GDr and they were carefully used where they promised the most benefits. Once the system collpased the resources were even limited a lot more and surely a cycling boy like Ullrich wasn't of importance at all. While some top programms were continued, does it seem likely that this wa strue for 15-16 year old cycling boys? You decide. Also, if the gDR remained doping heaven, why would Ullrich have left for Hamburg right after the reunification?
Bavarianrider said:Again, cycling has never been a priority in doping programms of the GDR. Much less for 15 year old boys. respources were limited in the GDr and they were carefully used where they promised the most benefits. Once the system collpased the resources were even limited a lot more and surely a cycling boy like Ullrich wasn't of importance at all. While some top programms were continued, does it seem likely that this wa strue for 15-16 year old cycling boys? You decide. Also, if the gDR remained doping heaven, why would Ullrich have left for Hamburg right after the reunification?
D-Queued said:Why did they select him for a doping academy?
Are you saying that the GDR would waste precious space in one of these important and highly selective factories?
Not a very efficient use of resources. Somebody should have answered to the Stasi for that.
Sorry, but your arguments are specious.
Dave.
Yeah, very much besides the point, so I'm not sure what you hope to accomplish by even introducing that into the conversation.BullsFan22 said:Dave, I think I know who you are, but that's beside the point.
What fear tactics?BullsFan22 said:You sure know a lot for actually not knowing what went on, in details. I have no doubt about doping in East Germany, but all these fear tactics are a bit overblown, IMO.
BullsFan22 said:Dave, I think I know who you are, but that's beside the point. You sure know a lot for actually not knowing what went on, in details. I have no doubt about doping in East Germany, but all these fear tactics are a bit overblown, IMO. Anyway, now that we know that West Germany doped just as much as the east, or at least it was significant to the point that their football teams, biathlon teams, handball teams, cyclists, swimmers (Mark Warnecke, for example) all benefited in the 70's, 80's and once Germany was unified, it all clicked together.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/09/s...n-sports-doping-in-1970s-study-says.html?_r=0
Zam_Olyas said: