Assuming UAE can keep any dangerous breaks on a leash, impossible to see past Pogacar after the form he's already shown, targeting the Giro and just coming off a stint at altitude. Pogi can win this comfortably. Likely another long range demonstration.
After Amstel it looks like MvdP is past his peak and is zero chance to beat Pogacar at this race. Pogi just needs to pick where to go.
Looking at the profile (thank you topcat), Stockeu looks a good candidate. Its only 1km but 12.5%. The problem is that is 79km from the finish, maybe a bit too far. Redout (1.6km @ 9.4%) is 34km from the finish. That will do. If MvdP can hold Pog's wheel on Redout he will deserve it, But I just can't see it happening.
I am also expecting a strong race by the ever improving Egan Bernal.
After Amstel it looks like MvdP is past his peak and is zero chance to beat Pogacar at this race. Pogi just needs to pick where to go.
Looking at the profile (thank you topcat), Stockeu looks a good candidate. Its only 1km but 12.5%. The problem is that is 79km from the finish, maybe a bit too far. Redout (1.6km @ 9.4%) is 34km from the finish. That will do. If MvdP can hold Pog's wheel on Redout he will deserve it, But I just can't see it happening.
I am also expecting a strong race by the ever improving Egan Bernal.