Alpe d'Huez said:
Nice win for the Ravens. We got to see two things come out of that game. First, Foxxy's RB rule was on perfect display. Former 2000 yard rusher Ray Rice is gone? So what, just put in Seattle's former backup running back, Justin Forsett, and he gains 182 yards!
I think you mean Jamaal Lewis?
Next, the most fascinating division in the NFL just got even more interesting, the NFC South.
Atlanta 4-7
New Orleans 4-7
Carolina 3-7-1
Tampa 2-9
Come on Tampa, you aren't out of this yet! 5-11 could actually win this division and get a home field playoff game!
Not only that, but
there are scenarios in which a 12-4 NFC team could miss the playoffs. Pretty unlikely, but 11-5 would not be a huge surprise, and 10-6 is quite possible. I’m kind of hoping something like this happens, as if that wouldn’t push the NFL to revise the postseason rules, nothing would.
Remember, 12-4 NO had to play at 7-9 SE a few years ago, and in a weird twist of fate, it’s quite possible a WC SE team with double digit wins could play at below .500 NO this year. There was also 12-4 Pittsburgh at 8-8 Denver the following year. Both times the home team won despite being I think a massive underdog, which I guess says something for Foxxy’s system.
In any case, what we can be quite sure about is that the winner of the NFC South will have a much worse record than some teams that fail to make the playoffs. NO or Atlanta would have to win 3 of their final 5 games to finish 7-9, and quite likely 10-6 won’t be good enough for a WC. One sportswriter even suggested the winner of the NFC South should voluntarily give up its playoff spot to a more deserving team, such as one in the AFC North, which has three teams with a record three games better than the best teams in the NFC South, and which is 10-1-1 vs, teams in that division.
Has anyone fallen further faster in recent NFL history than RGIII? Two years ago he was the no. 2 draft pick and ROY that Washington bet the farm on. He was supposed to be one of the most promising QBs ever, featuring a never-before-seen combination of running speed and arm strength, leading Washington back to prominence. And now, he's being benched in favor of McCoy, and talk is that Washington is ready to move on next year without him.
The game vs. Indy this week--it would have been the first time the top two QBs in the 2012 draft met in a RS game--kind of symbolizes how badly this has worked out for Washington, which reportedly would have taken RGIII even if they had the first pick. Indeed, I can remember a certain someone who posts here often saying Luck would be a bust, while assuring us that RGIII’s cannon arm heralded a successful career. Yet while RGIII's future as a starter anywhere is now in doubt, Luck shines, leading his team to the postseason for the third straight year, and looking more and more that he’s on the path to elite status.
Survival: ATL
Past picks: MIA*, NYJ, MIN, TE, BUF*, OAK, StL*, BAL, JAX, CHI, TB*, WASH
Elimination: BAL, DET
Already listed: NYG, JAX, KC, MIA, BUF, StL, OAK, TE, CLE, WASH, PIT, NYJ, NO, HOU, TB, MIN, CHI, ATL, CAR, CIN, SE, IND
I guess at this point it’s easier to list the teams remaining:
NE, Denver, SD in the AFC, Dallas, Philly, GB, AZ, and SF in the NFC. I think I’m short two picks from others, as I’ve eliminated 22 teams through week 12, but even then I have just 8 teams left, with five more weeks to go. So I belatedly realize this elimination game has been set up wrong, I will have to make my two SB picks with one game left in the RS, and others will have to do it with two games left.
I think at some point we should have switched to one team per week. In fact, it would have been better to make just one pick per week every week after the third week. That way, we would eliminate 20 teams prior to the playoffs, leaving 12, which is how many teams will actually be left at that point. Further elimination would occur just by picking winners of the playoff games.
Two Thanksgiving games will go a long way to determining playoff teams. The winner of SE at SF will take a big step to winning a WC, as well as staying alive in the division race. The game is probably a little more critical for SF, because if they can’t beat SE at home, they probably won’t on the road, either. But SE really needs to sweep either that series or beat the Cardinals in Arizona later.
The winner of Philly at Dallas takes the division lead, though the loser will still be in good shape for a WC. Haven’t heard anyone talk about Tony Romo for MVP, but he’s second only to Rodgers in QB efficiency.
Speaking of Rodgers, NE at GB could be one of the best games of year, and a possible SB preview. No offense looks scarier than GB’s right now, but NE did a good job of holding Luck and the Colts in check.