Paris-Nice 2024, March 3-10

[Samu Cuenca]

Easy money.

But you should of course never gamble, cause you'll eventually lose it all.

 

[Netserk]

How about first a big GC summit finish and next 2/3 good medium mountain stages?

Big summit finish closer to Paris than to Nice?

 

[Froome]

Big summit finish closer to Paris than to Nice?

No, if they do that stage on friday.

 

[CyclistAbi]

But you should of course never gamble, cause you'll eventually lose it all.

Yes, like it always was and will be.

 

[Berniece]

But Roglic has to attack. Not only to take some time back from Evenepoel, But also almost a minute from the 4 UAE-riders.

Of the four, one or two will always hold up well. I don't think Roglic will be able to take a minute saturday or sunday. So, today he should take already 20 seconds.

Today is already a great day to stomp and win the stage, and thus take some bonus seconds while maybe making a small gap, resulting in 10-20s he can gain without attacking.

 

[Netserk]

No, if they do that stage on friday.

You could do that, if you find a willing host (like Lure or Chalet Reynard). I'd rather have the Eze TT back.

 

[Froome]

You could do that, if you find a willing host (like Lure or Chalet Reynard). I'd rather have the Eze TT back.

A mountain TT would be also a good option.
It's something that i also miss in grand tours, specially the Tour France.

 

[tobydawq]

Yes, like it always was and will be.

I think it was fairly obvious to place your house on Pogacar winning Strade. Now I need to know what to do with the 80% of a house I got as a prize.

 

[CyclistAbi]

I think it was fairly obvious to place your house on Pogacar winning Strade. Now I need to know what to do with the 80% of a house I got as a prize.

You will never get 80% of a house deposit betting on Pogi at SB. It just doesn't work like that. Losing 80% of the house if what we are really after here.

So if you do bet then spend some small percentage of your income on that. The rest, invest that in your house and if there is some extra buy a piece of land and grow your own food. If you are even more successful, then some safe options, to fight off inflation, make sense.

If you are even more successful then that then invest in society. As currently we are rather low in this regards.

As currently people rather bet then do that.

 

[Netserk]

UAE leading the peloton, with Bora in second wheel.

 

[Salvarani]

UAE leading the peloton, with Bora in second wheel.

SQS wheelsucking as well?

 

[Netserk]

Are my eyes deceiving me, or is that Soler who pulls?!

 

[topcat]

Has Mother Teresa attacked yet?

 

[Netserk]

I think it was fairly obvious to place your house on Pogacar winning Strade. Now I need to know what to do with the 80% of a house I got as a prize.

How confident were you that he'd win? ~90 %?

If so, and his odds were 1.7, you should bet no more than ~76 % of your funds.

 

[TourOfSardinia]

Zoom in

 

[DNP-Old]

I feel like a big win for Scaroni is coming rather sooner than later.

 

[rghysens]

Big summit finish closer to Paris than to Nice?

Puy de Dome?

 

[Netserk]

Kelly system clearly says go all in when youre 100% sure

In practice, Kelly betting is still too aggressive. It's impossible to model your uncertainty to the necessary degree.

 

[Netserk]

Puy de Dome?

Fair. I doubt any other race than the Tour is allowed to use it though.

 

[DNP-Old]

Raining very hard now.

 

[Netserk]

Looks like they will catch the break before the intermediate sprint.

 

[Netserk]

Soler DNF

 

[Berniece]

Nice to see Bora taking charge today, just wondering if they are doing it for a stomp at the end, or if Roglic will try to go earlier.

 

[Offline]

Soler DNF

Did he crash or just sick?

 

[Netserk]

Did he crash or just sick?

If he was the first from the team to pull the peloton, I think he was sick.