Paris-Roubaix 2025, one day monument, April 13 (men)

[Krzysztof_O]

Startlist

Startlist for Paris - Roubaix 2025

Competing teams and riders for Paris - Roubaix 2025. Top competitors are Tadej PogaÄar, Jasper Philipsen and Mathieu van der Poel.

www.procyclingstats.com

Top competitors:

Top competitors in Paris - Roubaix 2025

The highest ranked competitors on the Paris - Roubaix 2025 startlist are Tadej PogaÄar, Jasper Philipsen and Mathieu van der Poel.

www.procyclingstats.com

Previous top3 places:

Palmares Paris - Roubaix

Overview of winners per edition. The last winners of Paris - Roubaix are Mathieu van der Poel (2024), Mathieu van der Poel (2023) and Dylan van Baarle (2022).

www.procyclingstats.com

The Route:

Traditional 259 km route from Compiegne to Roubaix with 30 cobbled sectors. The hardest (*****) will traditionally be: Trouée d'Arenberg (93 km from the finish), Mons-en-Pévèle (45 km from the finish) and Carrefour de l'Arbre (15 km from the finish).

Start: 11:30
Finish: around 17:00-17:30

Approach to Arenberg is here (sharp turns slowing down cyclists but possibly resulting in crashes).

So another blockbuster is coming! Another battle: big boys vs Pogacar. The Slovenian decided to widen his races repertoire and do what had been rumoured in the last years. This definitely adds even more spice to the race, which should be epic. The route is flat so it will be much more difficult for him to drop in-form big boys (like Van der Poel, Van Aert, Pedersen or Ganna). Let's hope that the race will be exciting and nobody will get hurt.

 

[Heston]

Anybody but Pogacar. There is no reason to watch cycling anymore if he wins here too.

Hopefully someone like Pithie can make a big upset if Van der Poel is still suffering from his illness and crash.

 

[Krzysztof_O]

Anybody but Pogacar. There is no reason to watch cycling anymore if he wins here too.

Hopefully someone like Pithie can make a big upset if Van der Poel is still suffering from his illness and crash.

Let's not overdramatize. Cycling won't be dead as big boys possess another unconquered fortress: Milan-San Remo.

 

[scribers]

Let’s go!

(I think if you put the brand of the race as the first image it shows up pretty on the threads list)

 

[Hugo Koblet]

The most anticipated race in a very long time - at least for me. The big 5, Van der Poel, Pogacar, Pedersen, Van Aert and Philipsen, all have a good chance of winning, and for me it's hard to point towards a favorite. I'm going with Philipsen who has been great the last two years. I think he might benefit from the tactical game this year.

 

[Didinho]

Who decides this approach to Arenberg? It’s still the same fast road but now they’ll fight for position for a sharp turn again. Hope it won’t lead to a crash.

 

[Krzysztof_O]

Time for my prediction. No gradients will make PR a completely different race than RVV, at least regarding Pogacar vs other contenders dynamics. Pogacar will definitely lighten up the race given his offensive mindset but a few big boys will be hard to drop (and they are faster than him in the sprint).

Prediction: this year my monuments performance is 100% and I want to keep my streak going! My pick is Van der Poel but I'm hesitating a bit. After a difficult time Wout can finally make it, methinks, other guys will have a chance as well (bigger than in RVV, victory probabilities better distributed among candidates). Pogacar will be fighting for top spots in his first PR but my prediction for him is places 3-5, he may lose the podium in a sprint (besides Vans also Pedersen, Ganna or Philipsen are fast contenders).

 

[Devil's Elbow]

How many kilometres will Pedersen bury himself pulling a bigger favourite with Stuyven/Milan <30 seconds behind this time? Think the key to victory could well be being the best at abusing his, Küng's and Ganna's complete lack of tactical awareness/desire to actually win.

 

[Red Rick]

If there is no huge tailwind like last year I could see it being a pretty closed race like 2023

 

[fox]

If there is no huge tailwind like last year I could see it being a pretty closed race like 2023

The predictions show not a lot of wind, but it will be a tailwind.

 

[gavia88]

Do I see a change of weather type for next Sunday? I see appearing some rain on the prediction for Sunday now in Roubaix.

 

[Samamba]

Who decides this approach to Arenberg? It’s still the same fast road but now they’ll fight for position for a sharp turn again. Hope it won’t lead to a crash.

There's no way to not let them fight for position of course. This is probably the best option possible. At least you don't crash on the cobbles. This isn't any different than any sprint towards another important point in other races.

 

[tobydawq]

Who decides this approach to Arenberg? It’s still the same fast road but now they’ll fight for position for a sharp turn again. Hope it won’t lead to a crash.

The point is that they won't enter the Arenberg forest at warp speed.

 

[tobydawq]

How many kilometres will Pedersen bury himself pulling a bigger favourite with Stuyven/Milan <30 seconds behind this time? Think the key to victory could well be being the best at abusing his, Küng's and Ganna's complete lack of tactical awareness/desire to actually win.

Which climb is it that he should save himself in anticipation of?

 

[Alien Performance]

Would love to see one of Kung, Peterson or Ganna win this one

 

[Gigs_98]

Even though PR is perhaps a little more prestigious I actually often look forward to the Ronde more because it's not as much of a crapshoot. In a way the Ronde is usually the culmination of the hilly cobbles season with PR being the weird standalone one week later. But this time it feels different, easily my most anticipated spring classic of the year. This is the race where Pogacars presence shouldn't make it more predictable but much less. I have no idea how him on flat cobbles is gonna play out but I would expect him to be a very important factor.

 

[Rackham]

My prediction? Pog.

Yeah yeah not very original and some might say tainted by recency bias but consider this, i.e. after 200k any rider with more strength in his legs can accelerate on the cobbles like he's on a steep % gradient. Think back to Cancellara.

What I saw yesterday was Pog drop everyone not because he's just a better climber (in fact many had correctly noted pre Ronde that the Flemish cobbled climbs favor VdP just as much) but because he literally could grind down all resistance and turn every other rider into blended food on his wheel. One after the other. He didn't even 'attack' hard per se at any point. He just kept on grinding in the final 50km.

So the harder PR will be, the higher chance Pog will have of winning, IMO.

 

[search]

As feared, John Degenkolb unfortunately is out of the race with all kind of fractures after his crash yesterday

Three Team Picnic PostNL riders left injured after Ronde van Vlaanderen crash - Degenkolb out of Paris-Roubaix - Team Picnic PostNL

www.teampicnicpostnl.com

 

[veganrob]

My prediction? Pog.

Yeah yeah not very original and some might say tainted by recency bias but consider this, i.e. after 200k any rider with more strength in his legs can accelerate on the cobbles like he's on a steep % gradient. Think back to Cancellara.

What I saw yesterday was Pog drop everyone not because he's just a better climber (in fact many had correctly noted pre Ronde that the Flemish cobbled climbs favor VdP just as much) but because he literally could grind down all resistance and turn every other rider into blended food on his wheel. One after the other. He didn't even 'attack' hard per se at any point. He just kept on grinding in the final 50km.

So the harder PR will be, the higher chance Pog will have of winning, IMO.

You're really going out on a limb with that prediction.

 

[E_F_]

How long do we have to wait before they finally just do the Trouee in the opposite direction? It takes longer, it should create bigger gaps, it's less dangerous. OK, the entrance is less iconic, but (part of) the old one is there as the exit.

Arenberg i omvendt retning

62.0 km, +225 m. Bike ride in Denain, Hauts-de-France

ridewithgps.com

 

[Moose McKnuckles]

I don't see Pog riding the others like MvdP or Van Aert off his wheel. That would be nearly impossible on such a flat parcours and given the latter two rivals' advantages in handling. As far as I can tell, Pog's chance lies in the others' having a mental lapse and letting him get a gap over a very reduced group that doesn't have much left to mount an aggressive chase. Maybe I'm missing something, but that's a lot of "maybe" there.

 

[Red Rick]

I don't see Pog riding the others like MvdP or Van Aert off his wheel. That would be nearly impossible on such a flat parcours and given the latter two rivals' advantages in handling. As far as I can tell, Pog's chance lies in the others' having a mental lapse and letting him get a gap over a very reduced group that doesn't have much left to mount an aggressive chase. Maybe I'm missing something, but that's a lot of "maybe" there.

Lot of maybe's, but I'm done underestimating the stupidity of other riders.

 

[kingjr]

This should be Pedersen's time to shine.

Unless it rains, in which case I'll switch to van der Poel x)

 

[tobydawq]

I hope for a dry race. Primarily because I will be standing somewhere along the route and rain would make that quite an arduous undertaking.

And Van der Poel will do the threepeat.

 

[E_F_]

I hope for a dry race. Primarily because I will be standing somewhere along the route and rain would make that quite an arduous undertaking.

Selfish, much?