Paris Roubaix Top 3 - Who will be there in your option

[toolittle]

My Pick :
1. GVA
2. Tom Boonon
3. Oliver Naesen

Peter Sagan, strongest classic rider all the time, defeated by strong teams.

 

[Valv.Piti]

1. Boonen
2. Degenkolb
3. Naesen/GVA

Sagan to finish somewhere between 5-10.

 

[Nick C.]

I'll go off-beat and say
1-Stybar 2-Naesen 3-Rowe

2004 keeps popping to mind. A lull between the change of guard from Museew and VanPetegem to Boonen and Cancellara.

I'll just figure more bad luck for Sagan, GVA.

 

[WheelofGear]

1. Boonen
2. Stannard

3. GVA

4. Naesen
5. Terpstra
6. Van Baarle

7. Degenkolb
8. Modolo
9. Demare
10. Trentin

No Sagan in top 10.

 

[silvergrenade]

1. Peter Sagan
2. GVA
3. Luke Rowe


4. Quickstep Boys

 

[DFA123]

1) Degenkolb
2) GVA
3) Stybar

 

[Akuryo]

While everyone is watching Tommeke, Terpstra will steal his 2nd stone. Degenkolb wins the sprint against Sagan behind.

 

[manolo57]

Sagan to win !

Then Boonen and Naesen.

 

[DFA123]

Re:

While everyone is watching Tommeke, Terpstra will steal his 2nd stone. Degenkolb wins the sprint against Sagan behind.

I thought about a similar scenario. But then I remember when Degenkolb won in 2015, he chased down everyone himself in the last 20km - including an attack from Terpstra. I think if Degenkolb is there, then I doubt he'd be that concerned about Boonen's sprint and would just try to shut everything down again.

 

[Ikbengodniet]

1 Degenkolb
2 GVA
3 Naesen

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Some combination of Terpstra, GVA and Naesen hopefully.

 

[mikii4567]

Partly what I think, partly what I'd like to happen
1) Degenkolb
2) Naesen
3) Boonen

 

[Billie]

Re: Re:

While everyone is watching Tommeke, Terpstra will steal his 2nd stone. Degenkolb wins the sprint against Sagan behind.

I thought about a similar scenario. But then I remember when Degenkolb won in 2015, he chased down everyone himself in the last 20km - including an attack from Terpstra. I think if Degenkolb is there, then I doubt he'd be that concerned about Boonen's sprint and would just try to shut everything down again.

in 2015 it was both the biggest and weakest group that reached the velodrome for as long as I can remember.

 

[Arredondo]

1. Keukeleire
2. Van Baarle
3. Erviti

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

Degenkolb
Boonen
Van Baarle

 

[DFA123]

Re: Re:

While everyone is watching Tommeke, Terpstra will steal his 2nd stone. Degenkolb wins the sprint against Sagan behind.

I thought about a similar scenario. But then I remember when Degenkolb won in 2015, he chased down everyone himself in the last 20km - including an attack from Terpstra. I think if Degenkolb is there, then I doubt he'd be that concerned about Boonen's sprint and would just try to shut everything down again.

in 2015 it was both the biggest and weakest group that reached the velodrome for as long as I can remember.

Quite possibly. Definitely biggest group for a long time, although iirc, it wasn't horribly weak - Degenkolb, GVA, Stybar, Keukeleire, Lampaert and a couple of others?

Speaking of relative strength. With no Cancellara or Vanmarcke, I think this year is the weakest startlist there has been for a very, very long time. Boonen is almost the only top-level rider who is a specialist on the flat cobbles, and he's well past his best now.

 

[Alexandre B.]

Re: Re:

While everyone is watching Tommeke, Terpstra will steal his 2nd stone. Degenkolb wins the sprint against Sagan behind.

I thought about a similar scenario. But then I remember when Degenkolb won in 2015, he chased down everyone himself in the last 20km - including an attack from Terpstra. I think if Degenkolb is there, then I doubt he'd be that concerned about Boonen's sprint and would just try to shut everything down again.

in 2015 it was both the biggest and weakest group that reached the velodrome for as long as I can remember.

Quite possibly. Definitely biggest group for a long time, although iirc, it wasn't horribly weak - Degenkolb, GVA, Stybar, Keukeleire, Lampaert and a couple of others?

Speaking of relative strength. With no Cancellara or Vanmarcke, I think this year is the weakest startlist there has been for a very, very long time. Boonen is almost the only top-level rider who is a specialist on the flat cobbles, and he's well past his best now.

Elmiger and Boom.

However, Degenkolb was strong enough to bridge alone on GVA and Lampaert.

 

[Cance > TheRest]

Degenkolb is probably the most conservative bet for a podium finish, so I'll go with him for the win.
The rest of the podium is very difficult to predict. Hopefully the race will unwind in a way that lets Boonen be the main guy for Etixx and not Terpstra. The worst case scenario would be if Terpstra won.

 

[Tonton]

My heart says Boonen, the perfect ride into the sunset: what a story it would be.

My head says:

1. Sagan
2. GVA
3. Boonen
4-7 Degenkolb, Naesen, Terpstra (in npo)
8-10 Trentin, Demare, Van Baarle (in npo)

 

[Laplaz]

1. Terpstra
2. Van Avermaet
3. Boonen

 

[Saint Unix]

Degenkolb and van Avermaet are the most likely podium finishers. Kristoff will win the sprint in his group, but will probably be out of the top 3.

Head says
1. Boonen solo
2. Van Avermaet
3. Degenkolb

Heart says:
1. Boonen solo
2. Sagan
3. Kristoff

Gambler in me says:
1. Offredo
2. Moscon
3. Durbridge

 

[PunchingRouleur]

1.Tom solo
2.Sagan
3.GVA

 

[Nirvana]

1. Terpstra
2. van Avermaet
3. Naesen

Giving that it's likely that one could crash or have a mechanical my reserve for a podium spot is Degenkolb.

 

[StryderHells]

1. Degenkolb
2. Terpstra
3. Durbridge

 

[SHAD0W93]

70% want Boonen to win.
30% GVA to win
then the 3rd spot will be Kristoff.