PREDICTION 2018

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NICK / POINTS
Hugo Koblet / 4,5
BOT_SKY_BOT / 3,5
Gigs_98 / 3,5
Pohja Konn / 3,5
The Pirate81 / 3,5
AlwxNYC / 3
Dekker Tifosi / 3
Dr. Watson / 3
HELLO DOLLY / 3
Imrt / 3
jaylew / 3
Jns / 3
Jungle Cycle / 3
krakenKE / 3
MartinGT / 3
Netserk / 3
Portugal 11 / 3
rote_laterne / 3
SKSEMTEX / 3
TONTON / 3
Asero831 / 1,5
BLANCO / 1,5
Jspear / 1,5
Akuryo / 1,5
Koronin / 1
Sprints n stones / 1
KGB / 1
Greenadge / 0,5
LeChuck / 0,5
Wayahead / 0,5
Shadow93 / 0,5
Total / 74,5 out 896 8,3 %
 
Re:

sprints n stones said:
1) Terpstra
2) Vanmarcke
3) Naesen

Though I'd love to see an outsider win. Maybe survivor from early break when favourites held up by minor crash.
Couldn't be more happy to be proved wrong about the winner!
Dillier survived from the break too.
Really enjoyed the race even if the results put me towards the bottom of the successful pundits.
 
My predictions for the year (page 1) stated: 1. Dumoulin 2. Pinot 3. Aru.

With Froome in the picture, Aru's form questionable (and it has been for two years, really - Black Album?) and Dumoulin '18 still a mystery, it would take many things for my vision to materialize.

1. Froome to either not race Il Giro (willingly or unwillingly - 'nuf said), or him being what he has been so far this year: underwhelming. ho, and there's the Sky curse...

2. Aru: he's not the '14-'15 Aru. What happened? He's showing flashes of brilliance, flashes. Nibali's successor is nowhere near as god as the original. Vincenzo is the shark, Fabio has been a salmon lately: still very strong going upstream/uphill, but dying somewhere along the way. My bet for third doesn't look good.

3. If Tom is Dumourain again, it's game over. But he's my predicted winner, so I feel good. Like last year, he will be ready.

Then we get to Superman and Chaves. Legitimate contenders and super-talented riders. But I have been through this before. To the Spanish speaking cycling fans, I say: you are a tight community, engaged in the sport, but I get lost in the hype. Henao, Betancur...blah, blah, blah.

I have Pinot for second place. For him to win, he needs a two-minute cushion on Dumoulin and Froome in the MTF to mitigate ITT losses., occasional time bonuses could help. But considering what I just saw in Trentino, Tibopino can gain some time on Froome, but Sky will be stronger...probably not two minutes. Same for Dumoulin. I hope that I'm wrong, I just don't see it.

For a podium, Thibaut can beat Superman and Chaves in ITT, plus time-bonuses.

Many plots and sub-plots. All I want is my homie on the podium. He can do it. And if the chips fall right, maybe more. Thibaut looks good in pink ;) .