dirkprovin said:Hear, hear !! I'm even more of a hardnosed realist and I think he'll definitely be struggling for any wins this year outside of these early season crits. The evidence of his rides at Comm Games, Ride London and most Beijing sprints was that he was a long way off having the strength or the legs to compete against the big boys and probably even the better 2nd tier sprinters.
If OGE are sensible, they'll keep him clear of most WT events and send him to the non WT races like Turkey, Cali and maybe the later season North American races where he'll come up against SOME top sprinters but nowhere near top fields. It frankly would not surprise to see a few HDs on his card; any results (podium finishes) in any races outside AUS will be bonuses.
I agree with you, he will suffer againts the top sprinters and others like hofland,mezgec,demare...
I think he can win some stages 2.1 and classics 1.1 , but WT will be difficult for him, perhaps in the tour down under or in poland he can take a chance.