Hasn't Jumbo been teasing Roglic to the Tour for a while? Someone from Jumbo will always be competitive in this race as long as they continuing to pump resources into the sport at their current rate. I've been a Roglic fan since day 1. I am also a Pog fan. Looking at the team UAE is sending the race, they clearly hope that they have the team to pull back the first of the 1-2 Jumbo punch.Doesn't it only make sense for Roglic to do the Tour again as part of the tag-team, and if all goes well (or not) the Vuelta again? Furthermore he just got surgery with months off the bike, so he'll be behind schedule if he'd be targeting the Giro and he wouldn't be a contender at the Tour after doing the Giro either (unless he'd do the Giro as some prep race, not for GC).
From my perspective, we know who all the major contenders are and what they're capable except Jonas Vingegaard. He's won one major race in his career. A few years ago he couldn't break the top 10 in the Danish NITT. However in that one major race he won, he looked about as dominant as any rider in recent memory. Was 2022 just a weird year where Pog got something wrong in training or wasn't 100 %? Or is Vingegaard just that much better in the high mountains over 3 weeks? A guy capable of one huge peak and then major regression the rest of the year. Who knows. But if I am Roglic, I know I can compete with Pog. I know I am in his league. I am willing to take a chance that Vingegaard isn't the machine he looked and that possibly, just possibly I can win a Tour de France. If I am Roglic and my team gives me the chance, I am giving the Tour one last try.