I think Evans. If not Evans, Contador. Based on his own statements, I don't see how Andy can win. He says Plateau de Beille was not steep enough for him to make a difference - look at the Lauteret/Galibier profile. Furthermore, before the Tour he and the Leopard management were open about the fact that the Alpe d'Huez stage is bad for Andy and Frank because it is too short. The only plausible scenario is if he follows an attack by a rejuvenated Contador and they cooperate to put time into Evans and Voeckler... but its unlikely Contador would cooperate in this situation, given his deficit to Andy. I really think he's blown it.