Tour de France Stage 6: Bayeux – Vire-Normandie (201.5k)

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Should be interesting dynamics, all favoring a certain UAE.

Really hope Van der Poel goes all out for green, because if he doesn't Pogacar will likely just sleepwalk it unless suddenly breakaways start winning many stages again.

When I checked where the intermediate sprints are, the sprinters shouldn't have problems with the jersey.
Milan can just farm points in every mountain stage as well.
 
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Arkea is like controlling a bit, jumping on riders but not trying to attack themselves;

Think UAE is also already there to not let a Visma rider go (no idea why they would care but). If this takes too long this might be controlled
 
When I checked where the intermediate sprints are, the sprinters shouldn't have problems with the jersey.
Milan can just farm points in every mountain stage as well.
I haven't done the math, but Pog should get way more from sprint finishes and in some cases the break should be gone by the time the intermediate sprint hits

I also don't know about the time limits, if there's any mountain stages where they're not a complete joke Milan may struggle.