I just lost the text I was gonna post but I make the probabilities if 184 riders, winners selected randomly:
GC 0.005
Stage 0.114
2 Stages 0.012
3 Stages 0.001
OK that's total oversimplication but I can't be ***ed/can't remember how to do it properly. In any case by 4 stage wins if not 3 you're going to get under the probability of winning the GC. Agree?
GC 0.005
Stage 0.114
2 Stages 0.012
3 Stages 0.001
OK that's total oversimplication but I can't be ***ed/can't remember how to do it properly. In any case by 4 stage wins if not 3 you're going to get under the probability of winning the GC. Agree?