So the general state of the peloton is a bit weird. The state of me is just head shaking
I will say here that I really don't buy into the "everyone is on the gear" argument, or even - "the top guys are on the gear so it is still the most talented that wins" BS. Both of these, to me, appear to be more a coping mechanism than anything else.
Of our big stage racing talents racing this weekend, I find Remi by far the most believable. Dude has always been a TT prodigy, and being a lighter weight rider compared to other TT machines, he can climb pretty dang well (especially steadier climbs) and has excellent endurance and fatigue resistance. And these have consistently been his major talents. And as a later started to the sport, we've been able to see a bit of growth more recently. And he has to really focus on losing/managing weight to climb exceptionally well. But like most folks aiming to peak, he cannot maintain it indefinitely.
Joni is certainly eyebrow raising. With no Toddy, he is kicking people's butts in the overall and sure looks to be givin' 'er. He certainly looks physically stronger (read - less emaciated) than last year. And his movement mechanics look like he's racing. I
have found some media comments seem to suggest he is not doing that well when, in fact, if you don't count the person in front of him, he is doing really well. He is also a late joiner to the elite ranks, so some improvement might be expected. But wow, does he have some suspect performances he has pulled out of the bag.
As for Toddy, it's just funny next level bad. He rides for perhaps the most corrupt team management ever. He obliterates everyone and everything, all year long. If a lightweight, Tour destroying climber can give van der Poel a very difficult run in Paris Roubaix, then you know when the road tilts up he is going to obliterate everyone. And he does not demonstrate the movement mechanics you would expect out of maximum efforts, something I think is increasingly evident. In his first 3-4 Tours, he looked like he was working hard (and killing most folks). Does not look like that anymore. Perhaps it is just because he only started incorporating modern training (intervals, etc) in the last two years.
But current Toddy? Hmmmm, not a lot of accessory muscle recruitment or movement mechanics to suggest max sustained effort, breathing patterns suggesting he is going hard tempo but nowhere near all out (while pulling farther and farther away from those who are killing themselves), not a ton of perspiration or other ANS evidence to suggest he is challenging his system to its max, crazy speeds while not really being that aero, the strange ability to blast away from people without really looking like it took much, and then not pay for that effort. Nothing screams mockery inducing next level dopery like Toddy.
Edit: I see he has three stage wins, three jerseys, and of course is on course to destroy everyone. Business as usual