That’s a completely different race where their two riders are always top 5 contenders. That’s not the case in MSR. First of all, Alpecin doesn’t have the team to launch MVDP like UAE launches Pogacar, not for Cipressa and not for Poggio. So I doubt MVDP is able to attack like Pogacar does, and I don’t think he could drop everyone. So if MVDP goes to the finish line it might be with a smaller group.
If that group gets taken by the next group which contains Philipsen, there are also other sprinters there.
Basically what I’m saying is that UAE makes the race so hard, that plays into the cards of Alpecin. If they didn’t make the race that hard there would be more contenders to take the win.