unfortunately I'm quite bearish on pog's chances in sanremo. The problem is that ganna is in great shape, quite a lot better than last year at this time and already last year he was able to stay with pog (almost) on poggio, and also in 2023 he was super strong and finished 2nd. The same goes for mvdp, last year he peaked later as he was trying to arrive in great shape also at lbl, and he arrived at msr with zero races in his legs. This year he will arrive with several race days, plus in the first race he already looked very strong. In general I think both mvdp and ganna will be quite a lot stronger than last year at msr and already last year pog couldn't drop them on poggio and if they arrive together they are both faster than pog in a sprint. I'm more convinced than ever that to have a chance pog has to do a full gas attack on cipressa. I heard wellens saying they are planning to do cipressa in 9 minutes, but that will absolutely not be enough, the group migth be smaller but all the favourites will be there anyway, and in the group there will be 25-30 riders. The team has to realize that hey have to ride as if the finish line was on the cipressa, and pog has to launch there. It's not realistic to go solo, especially considering how strong vdp and ganna will be this year but his goal should be to create a small group after cipressa of 6-7 riders max, and then either hope that they relay, or try everything to create a smaller group on the descent or in the flat after cipressa. Then launch again on the poggio, maybe early on the climb, and hope that something can happen after the race has been more attritional in the previous kms. Unfortunately with pog being so marked, winning msr, which in itself is already very difficult, becomes almost impossible, and requires trying something extreme