I don’t think we should take any unofficial suggestions on cycling website and social media seriously until they make a clear statement re the Vuelta.
FWIW I think the longer time passes the more likely it is that he will ride much like how they strung out the confirmation that he would ride Paris-Roubaix this year.
He hasn't said it, but I think it was clear today that he's not going to the Vuelta. But he hasn't made it official due to team protocol.
Furthermore, confirming that he's not going is confirming that Ayuso is going, because Ayuso leaked that to the Spanish press, and that he would go if Pogacar didn't go. And the UAE will want to make that official, especially now that they're having issues with his continuity. Although if Ayuso is going to the Vuelta, when UAE absolutely didn't want him to do two GTs at 23, it seems more like blackmail.
I don't believe in coincidences. And the leaks about Ayuso's departure were two days before the UAE considered him for the Vuelta. A few weeks ago, they didn't even have him as a reserve because they considered him too young to do another GT and not burn out for the future.
As soon as the news broke that he wanted to leave, UAE doesn't think he's that young anymore. LOL.
Del Toro is a year younger and they're not even considering bringing him to the Vuelta. He hasn't threatened to leave

.