It is laughable when people assume the Giro is a preparation for the
tour. It takes a lot to win one GT, let alone two.
Facts on the table:
- Pogacar has not won a GT for 2 years, going into year 3 now.
- His main rivals Vingegaard & Visma seem to have his number and knows how to beat him and have done so succesfully back to back.
- The olympics are upon us this season and Pogacar has expressed that he is participating.
- The Giro trophy is sexier than the Tour trophy.
Even looking at interviews, Pogacar has said that he has been training hard in the winter and his race shape in the early season proves that.
So far, everything is pointing towards a Giro peak. He isn't going there to attack on a single stage just to ride the rest of it defensively to save his legs/energy for the tour.
In professional cycling, you can only peak so many times and for him to win the Giro, Tour and Olympics/Worlds means that he would need to be in peak shape or close to peak shape almost for the entire stretch of the season which is obviously impossible.
What's likely happening is that our friends at UAE saw this season as an opportunity to combine the Giro with the Olympics (although a national team event, UAE still benefit from the PR) as their main season goals as a hedge against the tour so even if he loses, he's atleast ended his GT drought, added a new trophy to the cabinet and crossed the Giro off his bucket list.